Stock Analysis

Twist Bioscience (TWST): Exploring Valuation After a 27% One-Month Share Price Rally

Twist Bioscience (TWST) shares have seen significant movement over the past month, catching the attention of investors curious about the story behind the stock’s swings. As performance has been mixed across different timeframes, the valuation remains an ongoing discussion.

See our latest analysis for Twist Bioscience.

Twist Bioscience’s 27.1% 1-month share price return stands out after a bumpy ride so far this year. However, the 1-year total shareholder return remains down 23.4%. Momentum seems to be picking up, which may indicate renewed investor interest and changing risk perceptions around the stock’s future prospects.

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With shares rallying but long-term returns still lagging, investors are left to wonder: Is Twist Bioscience trading below its true value, or are expectations for future growth already built into the current price?

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Most Popular Narrative: 20% Undervalued

Twist Bioscience’s current share price remains well below what the most widely followed narrative considers a fair value. This suggests room for significant upside should expectations play out. This situation could act as a key catalyst and support the case for climbing closer to that target.

Continuous product innovation, including new gene fragment offerings and anticipated upcoming product launches, reflects strategic reinvestment into R&D and manufacturing infrastructure. This supports scalability and improved gross margins over the medium to long term.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how ambitious this narrative really gets? The engine of this valuation is a bold long-term expansion bet, hinged on a financial turning point. The numbers behind it may surprise you. Click in for the growth math driving this target.

Result: Fair Value of $40.00 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent operating losses or a sudden drop in key customer revenue could quickly challenge the optimistic scenario that is currently driving Twist Bioscience’s valuation.

Find out about the key risks to this Twist Bioscience narrative.

Build Your Own Twist Bioscience Narrative

If you have your own perspective or want to dive deeper into the numbers, you’re free to analyze the details independently and craft your personal view. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Twist Bioscience research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Twist Bioscience might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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