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We're Not Very Worried About SpringWorks Therapeutics' (NASDAQ:SWTX) Cash Burn Rate
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
So should SpringWorks Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SWTX) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
View our latest analysis for SpringWorks Therapeutics
SWOT Analysis for SpringWorks Therapeutics
- Currently debt free.
- Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
- SWTX's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
- Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.
- Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.
When Might SpringWorks Therapeutics Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at March 2023, SpringWorks Therapeutics had cash of US$528m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was US$185m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.8 years as of March 2023. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Is SpringWorks Therapeutics' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
SpringWorks Therapeutics didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 16%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
How Hard Would It Be For SpringWorks Therapeutics To Raise More Cash For Growth?
Given its cash burn trajectory, SpringWorks Therapeutics shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
SpringWorks Therapeutics has a market capitalisation of US$1.7b and burnt through US$185m last year, which is 11% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.
How Risky Is SpringWorks Therapeutics' Cash Burn Situation?
As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about SpringWorks Therapeutics' cash burn. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Although its increasing cash burn does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 3 warning signs for SpringWorks Therapeutics you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:SWTX
SpringWorks Therapeutics
A commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of medicines for underserved patient populations suffering from rare diseases and cancer.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.