Stock Analysis

Sutro Biopharma, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:STRO) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 43%

NasdaqGM:STRO
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Sutro Biopharma, Inc. (NASDAQ:STRO) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 43% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 48% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Sutro Biopharma may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.5x and even P/S higher than 49x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Sutro Biopharma

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:STRO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2023

How Has Sutro Biopharma Performed Recently?

Sutro Biopharma hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sutro Biopharma.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Sutro Biopharma's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 30% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 6.3% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 29% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 222% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Sutro Biopharma's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, Sutro Biopharma's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Sutro Biopharma maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Sutro Biopharma has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.