Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Sonoma Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SNOA) Revenues Pushing Shares 33% Lower

NasdaqCM:SNOA
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Sonoma Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNOA) shares have retraced a considerable 33% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 74% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.1x and even P/S higher than 12x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SNOA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 27th 2024

What Does Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Sonoma Pharmaceuticals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sonoma Pharmaceuticals would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 23% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 38% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 19%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Sonoma Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

A look at Sonoma Pharmaceuticals' revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Sonoma Pharmaceuticals (4 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sonoma Pharmaceuticals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.