Stock Analysis

SNDL Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SNDL) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings

SNDL Inc. (NASDAQ:SNDL) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 61% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may consider SNDL as a highly attractive investment with its -1.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at SNDL over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for SNDL

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SNDL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 22nd 2023
Although there are no analyst estimates available for SNDL, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is SNDL's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like SNDL's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 111%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 5.8% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that SNDL's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

SNDL's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that SNDL maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for SNDL (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:SNDL

SNDL

Engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis products for the adult-use market in Canada.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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