Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Repare Therapeutics Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RPTX) Muted Revenues Despite A 35% Share Price Rise

NasdaqGS:RPTX
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Repare Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:RPTX) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 52% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Repare Therapeutics may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12x and even P/S higher than 66x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Repare Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RPTX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 5th 2024

How Has Repare Therapeutics Performed Recently?

Repare Therapeutics could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Repare Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Repare Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 59%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 13% per annum as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 148% per annum.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Repare Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Repare Therapeutics' P/S?

Shares in Repare Therapeutics have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Repare Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Repare Therapeutics (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.