Stock Analysis

Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Repligen Corporation's (NASDAQ:RGEN) 27% Share Price Plunge

NasdaqGS:RGEN
Source: Shutterstock

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Repligen Corporation (NASDAQ:RGEN) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 22% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Life Sciences industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may still consider Repligen as a stock not worth researching with its 11.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Repligen

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RGEN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 14th 2024

What Does Repligen's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Repligen has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Repligen will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Repligen would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 40% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.9% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Repligen's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Repligen's P/S?

Repligen's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Repligen maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Life Sciences industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Repligen that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.