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AVITA Medical, Inc.NasdaqCM:RCEL Stock Report

Market Cap US$137.9m
Share Price
US$4.58
US$5.49
16.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-27.1%
7D0.4%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

AVITA Medical, Inc.

NasdaqCM:RCEL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$137.9m

AVITA Medical (RCEL) Stock Overview

Operates as a therapeutic acute wound care company in the United States, Japan, the European Union, Australia, and the United Kingdom. More details

RCEL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth6/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health0/6
Dividends0/6

RCEL Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 45 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

AVITA Medical, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for AVITA Medical
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$4.58
52 Week HighUS$7.12
52 Week LowUS$3.22
Beta1.9
1 Month Change-1.93%
3 Month Change-4.38%
1 Year Change-27.07%
3 Year Change-58.17%
5 Year Change-74.64%
Change since IPO-81.68%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 10

RCEL: Low Market Penetration And FY27 Cash Breakeven Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their price target for AVITA Medical to $5.49 from $5.52, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after recent research highlighted low current market penetration, a roughly $1.3b total addressable market, reimbursement stabilization, and an outlook for potential cash breakeven during FY27. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed backdrop for AVITA Medical, with analysts updating their models around a roughly $1.3b total addressable market, low current market penetration of about 5%, and expectations tied to reimbursement trends and the path toward a potential cash breakeven during FY27.

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 10

RCEL: Low Market Penetration And FY27 Cash Breakeven Will Drive Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their price target for AVITA Medical to $5.49 from $5.52, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after recent research highlighted low current market penetration, a roughly $1.3b total addressable market, reimbursement stabilization, and an outlook for potential cash breakeven during FY27. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed backdrop for AVITA Medical, with analysts updating their models around a roughly $1.3b total addressable market, low current market penetration of about 5%, and expectations tied to reimbursement trends and the path toward a potential cash breakeven during FY27.
Narrative Update Apr 25

RCEL: Market Penetration And Burn Preparedness Agreement Will Support Constructive Upside

Narrative Update on AVITA Medical The Analyst Price Target for AVITA Medical has been adjusted from $10.02 to about $10.16. Analysts point to updated views on revenue growth and profit margins, as well as recent Northland research highlighting market penetration, product differentiation, reimbursement trends and the path toward cash breakeven as key supports for this change.
Narrative Update Apr 11

RCEL: Reimbursement Stability And FY27 Cash Breakeven Frame Balanced Risk Reward Outlook

The analyst price target for AVITA Medical has been revised slightly higher to reflect an updated fair value of about $5.52, up from roughly $5.33. Analysts point to expectations for revenue growth, stable profit margins, and recent research citing product differentiation, reimbursement stabilization, and progress toward cash breakeven as key drivers of their refreshed view.
Narrative Update Mar 28

RCEL: Reimbursement Stability And FY27 Cash Breakeven Drive Bullish Rerating Potential

Analysts have trimmed their blended valuation for AVITA Medical, with the updated fair value estimate easing from about $5.44 to $5.33 per share. This reflects revised assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple informed by recent research that highlights both the pullback in the stock and expectations for double digit top line expansion over time.
Narrative Update Mar 13

RCEL: Reimbursement Stability And Cash Breakeven Path Will Underpin Renewed Market Confidence

Analysts have lifted their AVITA Medical price target to $10, supported by expectations for renewed double digit revenue growth from a roughly $1.3b addressable market, reimbursement stabilization, and a path to potential cash breakeven around FY27. Analyst Commentary Recent coverage has highlighted a mixed but generally constructive view on AVITA Medical, with the latest initiation pointing to a $10 price target.
Narrative Update Feb 27

RCEL: Refined Earnings Assumptions And Burn Data Will Support Constructive Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price target on AVITA Medical up by $0.50 per share, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and P/E multiples that modestly refine their valuation models. Analyst Commentary Recent bullish analysts have framed the $0.50 uplift in the average price target as a refinement rather than a wholesale reset.
Narrative Update Feb 13

RCEL: Ongoing Burn And Wound Data Will Support Constructive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target on AVITA Medical to $10.07 from $14.10, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions that are broadly consistent with recent Street research, including the modest target raise cited by Lake Street. Analyst Commentary Recent price target work on AVITA Medical points to a more constructive tone among bullish analysts, even if some models still embed conservative assumptions on execution and profitability.
Narrative Update Jan 30

RCEL: Elevated Expectations For 2026 Guidance Will Expose Fragile Market Confidence

Narrative Update: AVITA Medical Analysts have raised their price target on AVITA Medical to about US$3.61 from roughly US$3.00, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E as key factors behind the revised assessment. Analyst Commentary Even with a higher price target around US$3.61, bearish analysts remain cautious and describe the move as a fine tuning of assumptions rather than a strong endorsement of upside potential.
Analysis Article Jan 24

There's No Escaping AVITA Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCEL) Muted Revenues Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Narrative Update Jan 16

RCEL: Two Year Revenue Guidance Reset Will Support Bullish Repricing

Analysts have adjusted their price target for AVITA Medical, reflecting a lower implied fair value of $6.98, down from $7.32. They cite updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a reduced future P/E multiple.
Analysis Article Nov 09

AVITA Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCEL) Just Reported Third-Quarter Earnings: Have Analysts Changed Their Mind On The Stock?

AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) missed earnings with its latest quarterly results, disappointing overly-optimistic...
Narrative Update Nov 08

RCEL: Leadership Transition And Guidance Reset Will Drive Second Half Recovery

Analysts have lowered their price target for AVITA Medical from $8.00 to $4.00. They cite weaker-than-expected Q3 revenue, leadership changes, and the need to amend debt agreements as key factors in their revised outlook.
Analysis Article Oct 03

AVITA Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCEL) Surges 28% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...
Narrative Update Sep 17

Medicare Resolution And Trauma Expansion Will Shape Future Wound Care

Analysts have markedly reduced AVITA Medical’s price target from $9.60 to $8.26 amid lowered guidance, recurring earnings misses, and ongoing reimbursement headwinds that are pressuring demand and raising solvency concerns despite management’s optimism for a second-half recovery. Analyst Commentary Materially lowered guidance has prompted a significant reset of expectations, but management maintains confidence in a second half recovery.
Narrative Update Aug 15

Medicare Resolution And Trauma Expansion Will Shape Future Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s consensus price target remains unchanged as analysts respond to materially reduced guidance and persistent reimbursement issues—with bulls viewing the lowered expectations as prudent and bears citing execution risks and near-term revenue headwinds—leaving the fair value steady at $9.60. Analyst Commentary Materially reduced guidance led to significant downward revisions in price targets.
Analysis Article Aug 10

AVITA Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCEL) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 25%

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) share price has dived 25% in the last...
Analysis Article May 29

Shareholders Will Probably Not Have Any Issues With AVITA Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCEL) CEO Compensation

Key Insights AVITA Medical will host its Annual General Meeting on 4th of June CEO Jim Corbett's total compensation...
User avatar
New Narrative Apr 24

PermeaDerm And Cohealyx Will Open International Markets

Launching new products and expanding internationally are expected to drive significant revenue growth and market penetration.
Analysis Article Mar 06

Investors Don't See Light At End Of AVITA Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCEL) Tunnel

AVITA Medical, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x might make it look like a strong buy...
Analysis Article Dec 30

Is AVITA Medical (NASDAQ:RCEL) Using Debt Sensibly?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Analysis Article Dec 03

AVITA Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCEL) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month...
Analysis Article Oct 04

AVITA Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCEL) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month...
Analysis Article Aug 11

AVITA Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:RCEL) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

Shareholders of AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 16% to...
Analysis Article Jul 18

AVITA Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCEL) Share Price Boosted 26% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

AVITA Medical, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RCEL ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...

Shareholder Returns

RCELUS BiotechsUS Market
7D0.4%1.2%1.0%
1Y-27.1%34.9%28.7%

Return vs Industry: RCEL underperformed the US Biotechs industry which returned 34.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: RCEL underperformed the US Market which returned 27.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is RCEL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
RCEL volatility
RCEL Average Weekly Movement10.8%
Biotechs Industry Average Movement11.0%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.4%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: RCEL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: RCEL's weekly volatility (11%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
n/a226Cary Vanceavitamedical.com

AVITA Medical, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a therapeutic acute wound care company in the United States, Japan, the European Union, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company’s lead product is the RECELL System, a cell harvesting device used for the treatment of thermal burn wounds and full-thickness skin defects, as well as for repigmentation of stable depigmented vitiligo lesions. It also provides RECALL autologous cell harvesting device, which can treat areas of up to 1,920 cm2; RECELL autologous cell harvesting device with ease-of-use, an enhanced ease-of-use device that can treat areas of up to 1,920 cm²; and RECELL GO mini autologous cell harvesting device, a line extension of the RECELL GO system to treat smaller wounds up to 480 cm2, as well as RECELL GO autologous cell harvesting device consisting of RECELL GO processing device, which controls and manages the pressure applied to disaggregate the donor skin cells and controls the incubation time of the RECELL Enzyme to optimize cell yield and promote cell viability; and RECELL GO preparation kit, which can treat areas up to 1,920 cm2.

AVITA Medical, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do AVITA Medical's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
RCEL fundamental statistics
Market capUS$137.88m
Earnings (TTM)-US$45.34m
Revenue (TTM)US$72.35m
1.9x
P/S Ratio
-3.1x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
RCEL income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$72.35m
Cost of RevenueUS$13.48m
Gross ProfitUS$58.86m
Other ExpensesUS$104.20m
Earnings-US$45.34m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-1.47
Gross Margin81.36%
Net Profit Margin-62.67%
Debt/Equity Ratio-199.2%

How did RCEL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/22 05:08
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/22 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AVITA Medical, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John HesterBell Potter
Lyanne HarrisonBofA Global Research
Laura McGuiganB. Riley Securities, Inc.