Stock Analysis

Investors Holding Back On Personalis, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSNL)

NasdaqGM:PSNL
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x Personalis, Inc. (NASDAQ:PSNL) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Life Sciences companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.5x and even P/S above 7x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Personalis

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:PSNL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does Personalis' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Personalis could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Personalis' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Personalis would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.9% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Personalis is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Personalis' P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

A look at Personalis' revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Personalis has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Personalis' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.