Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Phibro Animal Health Corporation's (NASDAQ:PAHC) Earnings Pushing Shares 30% Higher

NasdaqGM:PAHC
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Phibro Animal Health Corporation (NASDAQ:PAHC) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.7% isn't as attractive.

Since its price has surged higher, Phibro Animal Health's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 45.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Phibro Animal Health has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Phibro Animal Health

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NasdaqGM:PAHC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Phibro Animal Health will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Phibro Animal Health's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 59%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 67% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 40% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Phibro Animal Health's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Phibro Animal Health's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Phibro Animal Health's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Phibro Animal Health (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Phibro Animal Health, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Phibro Animal Health is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.