Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For MacroGenics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MGNX) Underpins Its Share Price

NasdaqGS:MGNX
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x MacroGenics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MGNX) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13.1x and even P/S higher than 55x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for MacroGenics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MGNX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 17th 2023

How Has MacroGenics Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, MacroGenics has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on MacroGenics.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For MacroGenics?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as MacroGenics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 131% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 142% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 4.2% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 100% each year, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that MacroGenics' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On MacroGenics' P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of MacroGenics' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for MacroGenics (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.