Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCRB) Underpins Stock's 30% Plummet

NasdaqGS:MCRB
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MCRB) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 86% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Seres Therapeutics may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 15.3x and even P/S higher than 70x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Seres Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:MCRB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 23rd 2024

How Has Seres Therapeutics Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Seres Therapeutics has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Seres Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Seres Therapeutics?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Seres Therapeutics' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. The amazing performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 280% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 25% per annum over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 152% each year.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Seres Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Shares in Seres Therapeutics have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Seres Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Seres Therapeutics' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Seres Therapeutics (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:MCRB

Seres Therapeutics

A microbiome therapeutics company, develop microbiome therapeutics to treat the modulation of the colonic microbiome.

Moderate with mediocre balance sheet.

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