Stock Analysis

We Think Fulcrum Therapeutics (NASDAQ:FULC) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

NasdaqGM:FULC
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Fulcrum Therapeutics (NASDAQ:FULC) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

View our latest analysis for Fulcrum Therapeutics

How Long Is Fulcrum Therapeutics' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at June 2024, Fulcrum Therapeutics had cash of US$274m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was US$13m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from June 2024. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:FULC Debt to Equity History November 8th 2024

How Well Is Fulcrum Therapeutics Growing?

Given our focus on Fulcrum Therapeutics' cash burn, we're delighted to see that it reduced its cash burn by a nifty 86%. But its revenue is better yet, flying higher than Elon Musk and his rocket, with growth of 2,583% in the last year. Considering these factors, we're fairly impressed by its growth trajectory. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Hard Would It Be For Fulcrum Therapeutics To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Fulcrum Therapeutics seems to be in a decent position, we reckon it is still worth thinking about how easily it could raise more cash, if that proved desirable. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Fulcrum Therapeutics has a market capitalisation of US$214m and burnt through US$13m last year, which is 5.9% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

Is Fulcrum Therapeutics' Cash Burn A Worry?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Fulcrum Therapeutics' cash burn. For example, we think its cash burn reduction suggests that the company is on a good path. But it's fair to say that its cash burn relative to its market cap was also very reassuring. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. On another note, Fulcrum Therapeutics has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

Of course Fulcrum Therapeutics may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.