Stock Analysis

Is Eagle Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:EGRX) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqGM:EGRX
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Eagle Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:EGRX) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Eagle Pharmaceuticals

How Much Debt Does Eagle Pharmaceuticals Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Eagle Pharmaceuticals had US$70.2m of debt, an increase on US$49.9m, over one year. However, it does have US$15.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$54.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:EGRX Debt to Equity History September 21st 2023

How Healthy Is Eagle Pharmaceuticals' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Eagle Pharmaceuticals had liabilities of US$86.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$66.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$15.4m and US$115.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$22.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Eagle Pharmaceuticals has a market capitalization of US$197.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Eagle Pharmaceuticals has net debt of just 0.88 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.2 times the interest expense over the last year. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Eagle Pharmaceuticals if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 46% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Eagle Pharmaceuticals can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Eagle Pharmaceuticals's free cash flow amounted to 47% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Eagle Pharmaceuticals's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its net debt to EBITDA is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Eagle Pharmaceuticals is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Eagle Pharmaceuticals (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Eagle Pharmaceuticals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.