Stock Analysis

Is Edesa Biotech (NASDAQ:EDSA) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

NasdaqCM:EDSA
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Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. By way of example, Edesa Biotech (NASDAQ:EDSA) has seen its share price rise 149% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Edesa Biotech's cash burn is. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

See our latest analysis for Edesa Biotech

How Long Is Edesa Biotech's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Edesa Biotech last reported its balance sheet in December 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth US$6.3m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$7.2m. That means it had a cash runway of around 10 months as of December 2020. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:EDSA Debt to Equity History April 13th 2021

How Is Edesa Biotech's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Edesa Biotech has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$221k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. With the cash burn rate up 28% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Hard Would It Be For Edesa Biotech To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Edesa Biotech shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Edesa Biotech has a market capitalisation of US$72m and burnt through US$7.2m last year, which is 10% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

So, Should We Worry About Edesa Biotech's Cash Burn?

Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Edesa Biotech's cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Even though we don't think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we've done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 6 warning signs for Edesa Biotech (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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