Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. (NASDAQ:COLL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Collegium Pharmaceutical
How Much Debt Does Collegium Pharmaceutical Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2022, Collegium Pharmaceutical had US$746.1m of debt, up from US$273.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$122.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$623.4m.
How Healthy Is Collegium Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Collegium Pharmaceutical had liabilities of US$415.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$632.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$122.7m and US$197.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$727.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$610.5m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Weak interest cover of 0.56 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6 hit our confidence in Collegium Pharmaceutical like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Collegium Pharmaceutical's EBIT was down 74% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Collegium Pharmaceutical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Collegium Pharmaceutical saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Collegium Pharmaceutical's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. We think the chances that Collegium Pharmaceutical has too much debt a very significant. To us, that makes the stock rather risky, like walking through a dog park with your eyes closed. But some investors may feel differently. Even though Collegium Pharmaceutical lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
A specialty pharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of medicines for pain management.
Very undervalued with proven track record.