Stock Analysis

Rainbows and Unicorns: Cidara Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CDTX) Analysts Just Became A Lot More Optimistic

NasdaqCM:CDTX
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Shareholders in Cidara Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CDTX) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals.

Following the upgrade, the consensus from five analysts covering Cidara Therapeutics is for revenues of US$40m in 2021, implying a measurable 4.3% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. The loss per share is expected to ameliorate slightly, reducing to US$0.96. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$25m and US$1.33 per share in losses. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a sizeable increase to their revenue forecasts while also reducing the estimated loss as the business grows towards breakeven.

View our latest analysis for Cidara Therapeutics

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NasdaqGM:CDTX Earnings and Revenue Growth August 17th 2021

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 8.3% by the end of 2021. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 54% over the last year. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 10% per year. It's pretty clear that Cidara Therapeutics' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that analysts reduced their loss per share estimates for this year, reflecting increased optimism around Cidara Therapeutics' prospects. Fortunately, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting revenues to grow slower than the wider market. The clear improvement in sentiment should be enough to get most shareholders feeling more optimistic about Cidara Therapeutics' future.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Cidara Therapeutics going out to 2023, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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