Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of CASI Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CASI) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 26%

NasdaqCM:CASI
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, CASI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:CASI) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 157%.

Since its price has dipped substantially, CASI Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 15.9x and even P/S above 76x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for CASI Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:CASI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024

How CASI Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

CASI Pharmaceuticals could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on CASI Pharmaceuticals.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 262% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 38% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 262% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From CASI Pharmaceuticals' P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, CASI Pharmaceuticals' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As expected, our analysis of CASI Pharmaceuticals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for CASI Pharmaceuticals that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CASI Pharmaceuticals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:CASI

CASI Pharmaceuticals

CASI Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapeutics and pharmaceutical products in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, and internationally.

High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.