Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Cara Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CARA) Even Though It's 30% Cheaper

NasdaqCM:CARA
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Cara Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:CARA) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 65% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Cara Therapeutics may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -2x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Cara Therapeutics as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Cara Therapeutics

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:CARA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 4th 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Cara Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Cara Therapeutics?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Cara Therapeutics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Cara Therapeutics' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Cara Therapeutics' share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Cara Therapeutics currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Cara Therapeutics is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Cara Therapeutics. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.