Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of bluebird bio, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BLUE) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 38%

NasdaqGS:BLUE
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bluebird bio, Inc. (NASDAQ:BLUE) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 38% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 68% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, bluebird bio's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11x and even P/S above 70x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for bluebird bio

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:BLUE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2025

What Does bluebird bio's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, bluebird bio has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think bluebird bio's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

bluebird bio's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 144% gain to the company's top line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 87% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 115% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that bluebird bio's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On bluebird bio's P/S

Shares in bluebird bio have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of bluebird bio's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with bluebird bio (including 3 which are a bit concerning).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.