There wouldn't be many who think Alimera Sciences, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALIM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States is similar at about 2.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Alimera Sciences
How Has Alimera Sciences Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for Alimera Sciences as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think Alimera Sciences' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Alimera Sciences' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 7.2% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 55% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 18%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Alimera Sciences' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Alimera Sciences currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Alimera Sciences that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:ALIM
Alimera Sciences
A pharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes prescription ophthalmic retinal pharmaceuticals.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.