Stock Analysis

Pinning Down Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.'s (NYSE:MSGE) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

NYSE:MSGE
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Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.'s (NYSE:MSGE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Madison Square Garden Entertainment

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MSGE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 9th 2024

What Does Madison Square Garden Entertainment's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Madison Square Garden Entertainment could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Madison Square Garden Entertainment's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Madison Square Garden Entertainment would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, in spite of this mediocre revenue growth of late. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.6% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 10% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Madison Square Garden Entertainment is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Madison Square Garden Entertainment's P/S

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've concluded that Madison Square Garden Entertainment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Madison Square Garden Entertainment you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Madison Square Garden Entertainment's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.