Madison Square Garden Entertainment Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Madison Square Garden Entertainment is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.6% and 5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 26.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 45.5% in 3 years.
Key information
26.6%
Earnings growth rate
26.51%
EPS growth rate
| Entertainment earnings growth | 23.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.0% |
| Future return on equity | 45.51% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 20 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 27
MSGE: Future Upside Will Depend On Event Slate And Theater Monetization
Analysts have lifted the Madison Square Garden Entertainment fair value estimate from $80.71 to $91.63 as they factor in a series of higher price targets around $80 to $103, along with updated views on the FY26 performance, FY27 event calendar visibility, and potential theater monetization. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Madison Square Garden Entertainment gives you a mixed but detailed set of signals around valuation, execution risk, and growth visibility.
Narrative Update • Aug 13
MSGE: Penn Station Theater Monetization Will Support Future Earnings Stability
Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for Madison Square Garden Entertainment from $86.00 to approximately $100.57, citing higher projected revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple informed by recent price target increases across Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Madison Square Garden Entertainment highlights a mix of enthusiasm for the core live events business and some caution around how much optimism is already reflected in the stock price.Seeking Alpha • Aug 01
Madison Square Garden Entertainment: The Calendar Is Becoming The Growth Engine
Summary Madison Square Garden Entertainment is now more of an earnings-driven story, with valuation upside hinging on operational improvements and event monetization. Fiscal 2027 is a key catalyst, with the Harry Styles residency and expanded Christmas Spectacular expected to drive revenue to $1.115 billion and EBITDA to $280 million. Premium revenue streams—sponsorships, suites, and hospitality—offer compounding growth potential and greater earnings stability than simply increasing event count. I maintain a buy rating with a $90 target, but further upside depends on management's ability to maximize venue yield and control SG&A expenses. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jul 22
MSGE: Future Returns Will Rely On Events Demand And Theater Monetization Progress
The analyst price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has moved higher from about $77.13 to roughly $80.71. This reflects a series of upward target revisions into the $75 to $86 range as analysts point to solid live events demand, improving visibility on future bookings, and potential Theater monetization as key supports for the updated valuation framework.Narrative Update • Jul 06
MSGE: Penn Station Redevelopment And Event Visibility Will Support Steadier Future Earnings
The fair value estimate for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has been raised from $71.00 to $86.00. This change reflects analysts' updated assumptions on margins, discount rate and longer term earnings potential, supported by recent Street research on event visibility, theater monetization prospects and Penn Station redevelopment progress.Narrative Update • Jun 22
MSGE: Future Returns Will Depend On Concert Demand And Penn Station Progress
The analyst price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has been nudged higher to $77.13 from $76.38, reflecting analysts' updated views on the Penn Station redevelopment progress, the concert event profile, and comparable P/E assumptions across recent research. Analyst Commentary Analysts covering Madison Square Garden Entertainment are focusing on two main areas: the Penn Station redevelopment process and the concert event profile.Analysis Article • Jun 20
Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) Stock Could Be 3.9% Undervalued After Data Breach Lawsuits
Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) is back in focus after multiple proposed class action lawsuits accused the company of failing to protect sensitive visitor data, including biometric facial recognition information tied to millions of venue guests. See our latest analysis for Madison Square Garden Entertainment. Despite the legal overhang, Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s recent share price return has been firm, with a 30-day share price return of 5.85% and a 90-day share price...Narrative Update • Jun 07
MSGE: Future Returns Will Rely On Concert Visibility And Execution Risk
The analyst fair value estimate for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has moved from $69.13 to $76.38 as analysts highlight the company as a lower-volatility live-events play with strong concert visibility and limited weather risk. This is reflected in a series of recent price target increases from firms including Susquehanna, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan, Guggenheim, and BTIG.Narrative Update • Apr 25
MSGE: Future Returns Will Depend On Premium Events And Execution Risks
Analysts have nudged the consolidated price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment modestly higher by $2, reflecting a series of recent target increases and fresh positive coverage, even as the assessment of fair value and key model assumptions such as revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E remain largely unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Madison Square Garden Entertainment has been active, with several bullish initiations and multiple target adjustments from large banks and independent firms.Narrative Update • Apr 11
MSGE: Future Upside Will Rely On Premium Live Events And Holiday Demand
The analyst price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has edged higher to $69.13 from $68.71. Analysts point to a series of recent target increases across the Street and supportive views on premium event demand as key drivers behind the update.Narrative Update • Mar 26
MSGE: Future Upside Will Depend On Scarce Premium Events And Holiday Demand
The analyst price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has been revised higher to $68.71, with analysts pointing to a series of upward target moves across Wall Street and recent commentary around premium live event demand and pricing power as supporting factors. Analyst Commentary Street research on Madison Square Garden Entertainment has recently been active, with several firms adjusting price targets and revisiting their views on the company.Narrative Update • Mar 10
MSGE: Future Upside Will Rely On Scarce Premium Events And Holiday Demand
Analysts have raised their average price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment by a few dollars to around $69. This reflects a cluster of recent target hikes linked to premium event demand and updated assumptions on discount rates and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Feb 24
MSGE: Future Returns Will Rely On Scarce Premium Events And Holiday Demand
Analysts have lifted their average price target on Madison Square Garden Entertainment by several dollars to reflect recent target raises across the Street, citing factors such as record 2025 Christmas Spectacular attendance and expectations that scarcity and premiumization will continue to support the business. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Madison Square Garden Entertainment has centered on how scarcity of premium live events and strong holiday performance may influence the company’s valuation and execution.Narrative Update • Feb 09
MSGE: Future Returns Will Rely On Scarce Premium Venues And Fan Experiences
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Madison Square Garden Entertainment to $68.71 from $62.43, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples in response to recent price target increases from several firms in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Madison Square Garden Entertainment has centered on higher price targets and updated views on how the business could support those valuations over time.Narrative Update • Jan 25
MSGE: Future Returns Will Rely On Premium Live Events And Share Repurchases
Narrative Update: Madison Square Garden Entertainment The analyst price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has moved from about $54.71 to about $62.43, as analysts point to updated assumptions for revenue growth, discount rate, profit margin and future P/E, supported by recent Street research price target increases from firms covering the name. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Madison Square Garden Entertainment has centered on updated price targets and how the business mix might support the revised valuation assumptions that fed into the new average target.Narrative Update • Jan 11
MSGE: Future Returns Will Rely On New Audio Offering And Buyback Discipline
Analysts now cite a higher price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment of about US$54.71, up from roughly US$51.86, reflecting modestly stronger assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Madison Square Garden Entertainment plans the first concert at Radio City Music Hall using the new Sphere Immersive Sound system, featuring the New York Philharmonic in a one-night-only performance on Sunday, January 25 at 7:00pm (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 18
MSGE: Future Returns Will Depend On Holiday Demand And Sponsorship Momentum
Analysts have increased their price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment to approximately $52 per share from about $42, citing stronger than expected live event demand, rising sponsorship momentum, and improving cost discipline, which support slightly higher long term growth and earnings expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that the higher price target reflects greater confidence in Madison Square Garden Entertainment's ability to convert strong live event demand into durable revenue growth and improved profitability.Narrative Update • Dec 04
MSGE: Future Performance Will Rely On Holiday Events And Sponsorship Demand
Analysts have raised their price target on Madison Square Garden Entertainment to $52, a $10 increase that reflects growing confidence in the company’s strong end-of-summer event lineup, resilient consumer demand for live entertainment, accelerating sponsorship momentum, improving cost discipline, and modestly higher revenue and operating income forecasts. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts argue that the higher price target better reflects improving visibility into Madison Square Garden Entertainment’s growth trajectory and cash flow generation, particularly as live event demand and sponsorship revenue trends strengthen into the key holiday period.Narrative Update • Nov 20
MSGE: Future Performance Will Rely On Holiday Demand And Sponsorship Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment from $49 to $51.50. They cite stronger event demand, improved sponsorship sales, and effective expense management as reasons for this adjustment.Analysis Article • Nov 14
Madison Square Garden Entertainment's (NYSE:MSGE) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings
The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. ( NYSE:MSGE...Narrative Update • Nov 06
MSGE: Future Gains Will Depend On Sustained Demand For Live Events
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment to $49.00. They cite strong consumer demand, robust event lineups, and improved expense management as key supportive factors.Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analysts Boost Madison Square Garden Entertainment Price Target Amid Strong Event and Sponsorship Momentum
The analyst price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has been raised from $47.63 to $48.50. This change reflects improved sentiment driven by stronger event demand, robust sponsorship momentum, and increased confidence in the company's financial outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Live Events And Premium Hospitality Will Drive Growth Despite Risks
The analyst price target for Madison Square Garden Entertainment has increased significantly, rising from $44.88 to $47.63 per share. This change reflects analysts' optimism based on robust event demand, improved margins, and stronger sponsorship sales.Analysis Article • Aug 16
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
NYSE:MSGE 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Madison Square Garden Entertainment's Fair Values from the Community...Analysis Article • Aug 10
Estimating The Fair Value Of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE)
NYSE:MSGE 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Madison Square Garden Entertainment's Fair Values from the Community...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Typically, we'll want to...Analysis Article • Jul 02
Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analysis Article • Jun 13
With EPS Growth And More, Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE) Makes An Interesting Case
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analysis Article • May 20
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.'s (NYSE:MSGE) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. ( NYSE:MSGE ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has...Analysis Article • Apr 01
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE) Shares Could Be 33% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for Madison Square Garden Entertainment is US$49.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash...Analysis Article • Mar 05
Here's Why Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Feb 12
Here's Why We Think Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE) Is Well Worth Watching
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Seeking Alpha • Feb 11
Madison Square Garden Entertainment: Tactical Move To Side-Step The Visible Near-Term Weakness (Downgrade)
Summary I am downgrading Madison Square Garden Entertainment from buy to hold due to visible near-term weakness in concert bookings and uncertainty in replacing the Billy Joel residency. Despite strong consumer demand for premium live entertainment, 2H25 bookings are weak, and 1Q26 trends, though better, remain uncertain. MSGE's revenue from sponsorships and premium hospitality is growing, but this won't offset the decline in high-margin event-related revenue. I will reconsider upgrading MSGE to buy once there is clearer visibility into FY26 bookings and a replacement for the Billy Joel residency. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 22
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.'s (NYSE:MSGE) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10x Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. ( NYSE:MSGE ) may be sending...Analysis Article • Dec 11
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. (NYSE:MSGE)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Madison Square Garden Entertainment fair value estimate is...Analysis Article • Nov 16
Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Last week's profit announcement from Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. ( NYSE:MSGE ) was underwhelming for...Seeking Alpha • Nov 15
Madison Square Garden Entertainment: Medium-Term Outlook Remains Positive
Summary Despite near-term demand challenges, I remain confident in MSGE's medium-term demand outlook, supported by strong leading indicators and positive underlying demand. MSGE's latest earnings showed a slight revenue decline but beat expectations on adjusted operating income due to a better cost structure. Positive indicators include sold-out concerts, strong demand for premium suites, and potential growth in non-concert events like UFC and the Tony Awards. Share buybacks and a potential new buyback program could support MSGE's stock, while valuation remains attractive with expected growth normalization in FY26. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 04
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE)
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One...Analysis Article • Oct 14
Is Now The Time To Put Madison Square Garden Entertainment (NYSE:MSGE) On Your Watchlist?
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analysis Article • Sep 17
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp.'s (NYSE:MSGE) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.7x Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. ( NYSE:MSGE ) may be...
New Narrative • Sep 11
Live Events Surge And Calculated Shifts Promise Growth, Despite Analysts' Caution On Margins And Earnings
Focus on increasing venue utilization and enhancing per event profitability through various entertainment offerings aims to drive revenue growth.Seeking Alpha • Aug 23
Madison Square Garden Entertainment: Demand Remains Robust
Summary MSGE benefits from strong demand for live events in popular US venues. Robust demand indicators include stable event bookings, strong ticket sales, and positive sponsorship traction. I believe MSGE should trade at a premium to other entertainment peers because of the better demand outlook. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2029 | 1,231 | 165 | 209 | 277 | 3 |
| 6/30/2028 | 1,178 | 131 | 196 | 201 | 10 |
| 6/30/2027 | 1,126 | 116 | 180 | 190 | 9 |
| 6/30/2026 | 1,061 | 66 | 323 | 351 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,019 | 49 | 313 | 341 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,015 | 52 | 193 | 214 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 962 | 35 | 140 | 162 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 943 | 37 | 93 | 115 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 975 | 132 | 120 | 143 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 961 | 126 | 63 | 92 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 956 | 176 | 56 | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 959 | 144 | 87 | 111 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 921 | 53 | 92 | 114 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 894 | 72 | 154 | 172 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 847 | 44 | 181 | 194 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 851 | 77 | 121 | 136 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 882 | 30 | 150 | 167 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 875 | 4 | 89 | 107 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 505 | -64 | 20 | 40 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 653 | -133 | 80 | 95 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 476 | 14 | 185 | 206 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 325 | -62 | 108 | 126 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 304 | -463 | -196 | -196 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 82 | -219 | -158 | -148 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 50 | -68 | -318 | -288 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 585 | 172 | 2 | 32 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MSGE's forecast earnings growth (26.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.7%).
Earnings vs Market: MSGE's earnings (26.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: MSGE's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: MSGE's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MSGE's revenue (5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: MSGE's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (45.5%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/14 04:05 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. is covered by 12 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Peter Henderson | BofA Global Research |
| Tyler DiMatteo | BTIG |
| Stephen Laszczyk | Goldman Sachs |