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MediaAlpha, Inc.

NYSE:MAX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$713.7m

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

MediaAlpha Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 2/6

MediaAlpha has a total shareholder equity of $-4.9M and total debt of $176.7M, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to -3571.3%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $359.8M and $364.8M respectively. MediaAlpha's EBIT is $84.8M making its interest coverage ratio 8. It has cash and short-term investments of $23.7M.

Key information

-3,571.34%

Debt to equity ratio

US$176.71m

Debt

Interest coverage ratio8x
CashUS$23.75m
Equity-US$4.95m
Total liabilitiesUS$364.76m
Total assetsUS$359.82m

Recent financial health updates

No updates

Recent updates

User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 15

MAX: Higher Near-Term Revenue Guidance Will Conceal Weaker Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for MediaAlpha from $10.00 to $11.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that refine their overall view of the stock. What's in the News for MediaAlpha MediaAlpha issued earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2026, providing investors with updated expectations on its near term performance.
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Narrative Update • Jul 31

MAX: Q3 2026 Revenue Outlook Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for MediaAlpha to about $14.83, up from about $13.71, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as key drivers of the change. What’s in the News for MediaAlpha MediaAlpha issued earnings guidance for the third quarter of 2026, providing investors with updated expectations for the upcoming period.
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Narrative Update • Jul 08

MAX: Higher Q2 Revenue Outlook Will Mask Weaker Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have reduced their price target on MediaAlpha from $11.00 to $10.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that result in a revised view of the stock's risk and return profile. What’s in the News for MediaAlpha MediaAlpha issued earnings guidance for the second quarter of 2026, outlining expectations for the upcoming reporting period.
Seeking Alpha • Jul 04

MediaAlpha: Cheap Enough For The Insurance Ad Recovery

Summary MediaAlpha is now a focused P&C insurance customer acquisition marketplace, with 93% of revenue from this segment and minimal health insurance exposure. Q1 results exceeded guidance, with revenue of $310M and adjusted EBITDA of $31.4M, driven by broadening carrier participation and strong core P&C growth. Management guides for $90M–$100M of 2026 free cash flow and continues aggressive buybacks, supporting a double-digit FCF yield at current valuation. I rate MAX a Buy: valuation is attractive, cash generation is robust, and growth remains positive, though P&C ad spending is cyclical and margins are thin. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Narrative Update • Jun 19

MAX: AI Insurance Shopping Rollout Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts kept their $13.71 price target on MediaAlpha unchanged, with only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, reflecting updated views on the stock's risk and earnings profile. What’s in the News for MediaAlpha MediaAlpha issued earnings guidance for the second quarter of 2026, projecting revenue in a range of $290 million to $310 million, with the midpoint described as representing a 19% year-over-year change in revenue, according to company guidance.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 05

MAX: AI Shopping Rollout Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have kept their price target on MediaAlpha broadly unchanged at about $13.71, citing steady assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, even as they make slight adjustments to discount rate inputs. What's in the News MediaAlpha issued earnings guidance for the second quarter of 2026, with expected revenue in a range of US$290 million to US$310 million, and described this as a 19% year-over-year change at the midpoint of the range.
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Narrative Update • May 21

MAX: Future AI Rollout And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target for MediaAlpha to $13.71 from $15.64, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and forward P/E multiples. What's in the News MediaAlpha issued new earnings guidance for first quarter 2026, with expected revenue between $285 million and $305 million.
Analysis Article • May 07

Shareholders Can Be Confident That MediaAlpha's (NYSE:MAX) Earnings Are High Quality

Last week's profit announcement from MediaAlpha, Inc. ( NYSE:MAX ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...
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Narrative Update • May 06

MAX: AI Chat Rollout And Expanded Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have maintained their $11.00 price target on MediaAlpha, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the key drivers behind this reaffirmed view. What's in the News MediaAlpha issued revenue guidance for the first quarter of 2026 of US$285 million to US$305 million, with the midpoint described as a 12% year over year increase.
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Narrative Update • Apr 21

MAX: AI Chat Experience And Ongoing Buybacks Will Shape Future Return Potential

Analysts now hold their price target on MediaAlpha at $11.00, with small adjustments to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that reflect fine tuning rather than a change in overall view. What's in the News MediaAlpha launched a carrier approved conversational AI application powered by ChatGPT technology for auto insurance shopping, built on its existing programmatic marketplace and designed to meet carrier compliance and brand standards (Product related announcement).
Analysis Article • Apr 18

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And MediaAlpha (NYSE:MAX) Passed With Ease

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
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Narrative Update • Apr 07

MAX: AI Shopping Platform And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts now see MediaAlpha's fair value at $11.00, down from $13.00. This reflects updated assumptions around a slightly higher discount rate, a change in expected revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E of 11.17 from 12.67.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 24

MAX: Share Repurchases And Higher Margins Will Support Future Profit Recovery

Narrative Update on MediaAlpha Analysts have kept their $19.00 price target for MediaAlpha unchanged, citing only slight adjustments to assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that do not materially alter their overall view of the stock. What's in the News MediaAlpha completed a share repurchase of 1,117,364 shares, representing 1.96% of the company, for $14.36 million, under the buyback program announced on October 29, 2025 (Key Developments).
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Narrative Update • Mar 09

MAX: Higher Margins And Governance Reforms Will Support Future Profit Recovery

Analysts have kept their $19.00 price target for MediaAlpha unchanged, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, improved profit margins, a lower future P/E multiple, and a slightly higher discount rate as key drivers behind their refreshed outlook. What's in the News MediaAlpha issued earnings guidance for the first quarter of 2026, with expected revenue in the range of $285 million to $305 million.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 23

MAX: Updated Bylaws And Governance Framework Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts kept their $13.00 price target for MediaAlpha unchanged. They cited only small adjustments in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as the basis for maintaining this view.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 09

MAX: Revised Bylaws And Governance Changes Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have kept their price target for MediaAlpha steady at US$13.00, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that, in their view, still point to the same fair value level. What's in the News The Board approved an amendment and restatement of MediaAlpha, Inc.'s bylaws on December 10, 2025, with immediate effect.
Analysis Article • Feb 06

MediaAlpha, Inc. (NYSE:MAX) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 29%

The MediaAlpha, Inc. ( NYSE:MAX ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 26

MAX: Buyback Program And Revised Bylaws Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have maintained their price target for MediaAlpha at US$13.00, incorporating updated assumptions that reflect revised views on revenue growth, profit margins and the appropriate discount rate applied to future earnings. What's in the News Board approves an amendment and restatement of MediaAlpha's bylaws on December 10, 2025, updating rules around stockholder meetings, proxy usage, director elections, and removing certain litigation cost provisions (company filing).
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Narrative Update • Jan 11

MAX: Share Repurchases And Governance Changes Will Support Future Profit Recovery

Analysts have maintained their price target for MediaAlpha at US$19.00. They cite updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, lower expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, which together support keeping the prior valuation level unchanged.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 26

MAX: Share Repurchases Will Likely Support Improving Profit Margins Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target on MediaAlpha higher from 18 dollars to 19 dollars, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, improving profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple outlook, despite a modestly higher discount rate. What's in the News Board approves amended and restated bylaws on December 10, 2025, updating stockholder meeting procedures, director nomination rules, and aligning with recent Delaware corporate law changes (company filing) New share repurchase program authorizes up to 50 million dollars of Class A common stock to be bought back by the end of 2026 (company announcement) Company issues fourth quarter 2025 guidance for revenue of 280 million dollars to 300 million dollars, implying about a 4 percent year over year decline at the midpoint (company guidance) Board of Directors authorizes a share buyback plan on October 28, 2025, laying the groundwork for the subsequent 50 million dollar repurchase program (board resolution) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has risen slightly, increasing from 18 dollars to 19 dollars per share.
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Narrative Update • Dec 12

MAX: Buyback Program And Stable Outlook Will Shape Balanced Return Profile

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on MediaAlpha to $13.00. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and a lower future earnings multiple that more than offset improved revenue growth and profit margin assumptions.
Analysis Article • Mar 19

MediaAlpha, Inc.'s (NYSE:MAX) Stock Retreats 26% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

MediaAlpha, Inc. ( NYSE:MAX ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand...
User avatar
New Narrative • Feb 25

I Will Capitalize On P&C Insurance And Medicare Advantage Opportunities

Strategic investments in data science and business expansion aim to enhance efficiencies, supporting net margin improvements through better cost management.
Analysis Article • Nov 12

MediaAlpha's (NYSE:MAX) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

Even though MediaAlpha, Inc. ( NYSE:MAX ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. We did some...

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: MAX has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than short term assets not covering short term liabilities.

Long Term Liabilities: MAX has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than short term assets not covering long term liabilities.


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: MAX has negative shareholder equity, which is a more serious situation than a high debt level.

Reducing Debt: MAX's has negative shareholder equity, so we do not need to check if its debt has reduced over time.

Debt Coverage: MAX's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (32.4%).

Interest Coverage: MAX's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (8x coverage).


Balance Sheet


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 10:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MediaAlpha, Inc. is covered by 12 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael ZaremskiBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Maria RippsCanaccord Genuity
Daniel GrosslightCitigroup Inc

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