Stock Analysis

Would Manchester United (NYSE:MANU) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

NYSE:MANU
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Manchester United plc (NYSE:MANU) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Manchester United

How Much Debt Does Manchester United Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Manchester United had UK£613.3m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has UK£76.0m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£537.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MANU Debt to Equity History October 31st 2023

How Healthy Is Manchester United's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Manchester United had liabilities of UK£526.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£687.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£76.0m in cash and UK£89.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£1.05b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Manchester United has a market capitalization of UK£2.41b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Manchester United can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Manchester United reported revenue of UK£648m, which is a gain of 11%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Manchester United had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost UK£32m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled UK£44m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. For riskier companies like Manchester United I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.