Stock Analysis

Does Manchester United (NYSE:MANU) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:MANU
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Manchester United plc (NYSE:MANU) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Manchester United

How Much Debt Does Manchester United Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Manchester United had UK£680.3m of debt, an increase on UK£543.1m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£24.3m, its net debt is less, at about UK£656.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:MANU Debt to Equity History March 26th 2023

How Strong Is Manchester United's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Manchester United had liabilities of UK£534.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£785.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£24.3m and UK£103.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£1.19b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Manchester United is worth UK£3.19b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Manchester United's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Manchester United reported revenue of UK£600m, which is a gain of 17%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Manchester United had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at UK£77m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled UK£95m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Manchester United you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.