Stock Analysis

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For HUYA Inc. (NYSE:HUYA) After Its Full-Year Results

NYSE:HUYA
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The yearly results for HUYA Inc. (NYSE:HUYA) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues were in line with expectations, at CN¥7.0b, while statutory losses ballooned to CN¥0.84 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for HUYA

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NYSE:HUYA Earnings and Revenue Growth March 21st 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the eleven analysts covering HUYA provided consensus estimates of CN¥6.82b revenue in 2024, which would reflect a discernible 2.5% decline over the past 12 months. Earnings are expected to improve, with HUYA forecast to report a statutory profit of CN¥0.14 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥6.84b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.18 in 2024. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a large cut to EPS estimates.

The consensus price target held steady at US$4.12, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on HUYA, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$7.70 and the most bearish at US$2.28 per share. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the HUYA's past performance and to peers in the same industry. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 2.5% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 4.6% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 8.1% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that HUYA's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for HUYA. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that HUYA's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple HUYA analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for HUYA that you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HUYA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.