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Returns On Capital At Cinemark Holdings (NYSE:CNK) Paint A Concerning Picture
To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. On that note, looking into Cinemark Holdings (NYSE:CNK), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Cinemark Holdings is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.019 = US$77m ÷ (US$4.8b - US$709m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Therefore, Cinemark Holdings has an ROCE of 1.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Entertainment industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for Cinemark Holdings
In the above chart we have measured Cinemark Holdings' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Cinemark Holdings
- No major strengths identified for CNK.
- Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
- Expected to breakeven next year.
- Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
- Good value based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Cinemark Holdings. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 11% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Cinemark Holdings becoming one if things continue as they have.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's unfortunate that Cinemark Holdings is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 53% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
While Cinemark Holdings doesn't shine too bright in this respect, it's still worth seeing if the company is trading at attractive prices. You can find that out with our FREE intrinsic value estimation on our platform.
While Cinemark Holdings isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CNK
Undervalued with solid track record.