Cinemark Holdings Valuation

Is CNK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CNK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CNK ($33.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($39.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CNK is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNK?

Key metric: As CNK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CNK. This is calculated by dividing CNK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CNK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17x
EarningsUS$235.70m
Market CapUS$4.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CNK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CNK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.7x
MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports
76.1x-8.5%US$5.3b
MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment
9.8x-26.7%US$1.7b
IQ iQIYI
8.7x18.0%US$2.0b
IMAX IMAX
56.3x20.9%US$1.3b
CNK Cinemark Holdings
17x7.7%US$4.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (37.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CNK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IH iHuman
4.7xn/aUS$85.73m
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
1.2x-121.8%US$76.65m
GMM Global Mofy AI
0.7xn/aUS$11.91m
MSGM Motorsport Games
0.7xn/aUS$3.47m
CNK 17.0xIndustry Avg. 21.6xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (21.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CNK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CNK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CNK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CNK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$33.45
US$32.70
-2.2%
12.5%US$36.00US$22.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$29.85
US$32.70
+9.5%
12.5%US$36.00US$22.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$27.47
US$28.44
+3.5%
12.5%US$32.00US$20.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$27.38
US$27.30
-0.3%
14.9%US$31.00US$16.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$23.09
US$24.10
+4.4%
16.1%US$28.00US$14.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$21.57
US$21.50
-0.3%
17.6%US$26.00US$14.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$17.27
US$20.80
+20.4%
16.9%US$25.00US$14.00n/a10
May ’25US$17.43
US$19.80
+13.6%
16.9%US$24.00US$14.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$18.46
US$18.00
-2.5%
20.2%US$24.00US$13.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$17.58
US$18.00
+2.4%
20.2%US$24.00US$13.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$13.85
US$18.00
+30.0%
20.6%US$24.00US$12.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$14.09
US$19.30
+37.0%
17.2%US$24.00US$13.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$14.61
US$20.20
+38.3%
13.1%US$24.00US$16.00n/a10
Nov ’24US$16.58
US$20.40
+23.0%
14.2%US$24.00US$15.00US$29.8510
Oct ’24US$18.35
US$20.30
+10.6%
14.3%US$24.00US$14.00US$27.4710
Sep ’24US$17.03
US$19.73
+15.8%
16.8%US$24.00US$14.00US$27.3811
Aug ’24US$16.94
US$18.59
+9.7%
16.4%US$23.00US$12.50US$23.0911
Jul ’24US$16.50
US$18.59
+12.7%
14.9%US$22.00US$12.50US$21.5711
Jun ’24US$16.26
US$18.68
+14.9%
15.2%US$22.00US$12.50US$17.2711
May ’24US$17.10
US$17.41
+1.8%
14.6%US$21.00US$12.50US$17.4311
Apr ’24US$14.79
US$15.00
+1.4%
13.3%US$18.00US$11.00US$18.4611
Mar ’24US$13.43
US$15.00
+11.7%
13.3%US$18.00US$11.00US$17.5811
Feb ’24US$12.38
US$14.18
+14.6%
18.0%US$18.00US$9.00US$13.8511
Jan ’24US$8.66
US$14.45
+66.9%
17.8%US$18.00US$9.00US$14.0911
Dec ’23US$13.78
US$14.91
+8.2%
22.2%US$22.00US$9.00US$14.6111
Nov ’23US$10.75
US$15.45
+43.8%
26.7%US$22.00US$9.00US$16.5811

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies