Cinemark Holdings Valuation

Is CNK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CNK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CNK ($30.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($41.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CNK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNK?

Key metric: As CNK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CNK. This is calculated by dividing CNK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CNK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.8x
EarningsUS$235.70m
Market CapUS$3.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CNK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CNK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38x
MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports
75.7x-8.5%US$5.3b
MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment
9.2x-25.1%US$1.6b
IQ iQIYI
10.3x18.0%US$2.0b
IMAX IMAX
56.7x21.2%US$1.3b
CNK Cinemark Holdings
15.8x8.6%US$3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the peer average (38x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CNK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DDI DoubleDown Interactive
4.5x0.3%US$507.92m
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
1.2x-121.8%US$76.65m
GMM Global Mofy AI
0.6xn/aUS$9.48m
MSGM Motorsport Games
0.8xn/aUS$3.92m
CNK 15.8xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CNK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CNK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CNK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CNK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$30.95
US$34.00
+9.9%
15.3%US$40.00US$22.00n/a10
Dec ’25US$34.52
US$33.00
-4.4%
13.2%US$38.00US$22.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$29.85
US$32.70
+9.5%
12.5%US$36.00US$22.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$27.47
US$28.44
+3.5%
12.5%US$32.00US$20.00n/a9
Sep ’25US$27.38
US$27.30
-0.3%
14.9%US$31.00US$16.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$23.09
US$24.10
+4.4%
16.1%US$28.00US$14.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$21.57
US$21.50
-0.3%
17.6%US$26.00US$14.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$17.27
US$20.80
+20.4%
16.9%US$25.00US$14.00n/a10
May ’25US$17.43
US$19.80
+13.6%
16.9%US$24.00US$14.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$18.46
US$18.00
-2.5%
20.2%US$24.00US$13.00n/a10
Mar ’25US$17.58
US$18.00
+2.4%
20.2%US$24.00US$13.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$13.85
US$18.00
+30.0%
20.6%US$24.00US$12.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$14.09
US$19.30
+37.0%
17.2%US$24.00US$13.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$14.61
US$20.20
+38.3%
13.1%US$24.00US$16.00US$34.5210
Nov ’24US$16.58
US$20.40
+23.0%
14.2%US$24.00US$15.00US$29.8510
Oct ’24US$18.35
US$20.30
+10.6%
14.3%US$24.00US$14.00US$27.4710
Sep ’24US$17.03
US$19.73
+15.8%
16.8%US$24.00US$14.00US$27.3811
Aug ’24US$16.94
US$18.59
+9.7%
16.4%US$23.00US$12.50US$23.0911
Jul ’24US$16.50
US$18.59
+12.7%
14.9%US$22.00US$12.50US$21.5711
Jun ’24US$16.26
US$18.68
+14.9%
15.2%US$22.00US$12.50US$17.2711
May ’24US$17.10
US$17.41
+1.8%
14.6%US$21.00US$12.50US$17.4311
Apr ’24US$14.79
US$15.00
+1.4%
13.3%US$18.00US$11.00US$18.4611
Mar ’24US$13.43
US$15.00
+11.7%
13.3%US$18.00US$11.00US$17.5811
Feb ’24US$12.38
US$14.18
+14.6%
18.0%US$18.00US$9.00US$13.8511
Jan ’24US$8.66
US$14.45
+66.9%
17.8%US$18.00US$9.00US$14.0911
Dec ’23US$13.78
US$14.91
+8.2%
22.2%US$22.00US$9.00US$14.6111

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/29 03:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Marla BackerAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Anthony DiClementeBarclays