iQIYI, Inc.

NasdaqGS:IQ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

iQIYI Valuation

Is IQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$4.17
Fair Value
45.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
21
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: IQ ($2.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IQ?

Key metric: As IQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IQ. This is calculated by dividing IQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.5x
EarningsCN¥764.06m
Market CapCN¥15.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.8x
MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment
13.6x-5.1%US$1.8b
IMAX IMAX
53x23.0%US$1.4b
MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports
85.7x-10.3%US$4.9b
CNK Cinemark Holdings
10.8x3.5%US$3.3b
IQ iQIYI
20.5x22.3%US$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the peer average (40.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Entertainment Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DDI DoubleDown Interactive
4x-1.9%US$494.54m
RDBX Redbox Entertainment
1.2x-121.8%US$76.65m
GMM Global Mofy AI
1xn/aUS$11.70m
MSGM Motorsport Games
0.8xn/aUS$4.11m
IQ 20.5xIndustry Avg. 26.5xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the US Entertainment industry average (26.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ratio22x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.26
US$2.62
+16.2%
16.6%US$3.51US$1.80n/a21
Feb ’26US$2.17
US$2.48
+14.5%
19.3%US$3.61US$1.79n/a21
Jan ’26US$2.01
US$2.65
+31.7%
23.5%US$4.47US$1.79n/a21
Dec ’25US$2.16
US$2.64
+22.0%
23.8%US$4.50US$1.80n/a22
Nov ’25US$2.46
US$3.43
+39.3%
35.4%US$8.00US$2.30n/a21
Oct ’25US$3.01
US$3.44
+14.4%
38.3%US$8.10US$1.91n/a21
Sep ’25US$2.15
US$3.41
+58.8%
37.7%US$8.00US$2.21n/a21
Aug ’25US$3.21
US$4.61
+43.8%
26.9%US$8.03US$3.01n/a22
Jul ’25US$3.58
US$6.08
+69.7%
20.0%US$8.94US$4.20n/a22
Jun ’25US$4.63
US$6.09
+31.6%
20.0%US$8.97US$4.20n/a22
May ’25US$5.00
US$5.90
+17.9%
27.0%US$9.94US$3.55n/a22
Apr ’25US$4.29
US$6.02
+40.4%
28.5%US$9.99US$3.57n/a22
Mar ’25US$3.82
US$6.03
+57.7%
28.5%US$9.99US$3.57n/a22
Feb ’25US$3.29
US$6.24
+89.8%
26.8%US$10.07US$3.59US$2.1722
Jan ’25US$4.88
US$6.88
+40.9%
20.3%US$10.04US$5.02US$2.0123
Dec ’24US$4.40
US$6.80
+54.5%
20.6%US$10.02US$5.01US$2.1624
Nov ’24US$4.66
US$7.20
+54.5%
21.3%US$10.00US$5.11US$2.4624
Oct ’24US$4.74
US$7.36
+55.3%
19.3%US$10.02US$5.02US$3.0123
Sep ’24US$5.11
US$7.97
+56.0%
37.9%US$20.99US$5.04US$2.1525
Aug ’24US$6.12
US$8.40
+37.2%
37.0%US$21.36US$5.13US$3.2124
Jul ’24US$5.34
US$8.26
+54.6%
38.2%US$21.16US$2.80US$3.5824
Jun ’24US$4.18
US$8.47
+102.6%
38.7%US$21.62US$2.80US$4.6323
May ’24US$6.15
US$9.15
+48.8%
36.5%US$22.29US$2.80US$5.0023
Apr ’24US$7.28
US$9.16
+25.8%
36.4%US$22.28US$2.81US$4.2923
Mar ’24US$6.85
US$8.98
+31.1%
40.0%US$22.28US$2.82US$3.8221
Feb ’24US$7.31
US$5.50
-24.8%
33.9%US$10.32US$2.97US$3.2920
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
US$2.62
Fair Value
13.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
21
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/21 23:02
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

iQIYI, Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yanfang JiangBenchmark Company
Yiwen ZhangBOCI Research Ltd.
Yiqun ChenBOCI Research Ltd.