iQIYI Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
iQIYI is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 56.7% and 0.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 66.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.7% in 3 years.
Key information
56.7%
Earnings growth rate
66.26%
EPS growth rate
| Entertainment earnings growth | 22.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 0.7% |
| Future return on equity | 7.71% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 05
IQ: Future Returns Will Reflect AI Production Shift And Offline Expansion
Analysts have reduced their price target on iQIYI by $0.60, reflecting updated views on the stock's fair value, revenue outlook, profit expectations, and future P/E assumptions based on recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the reduced price target as a recalibration of fair value that still leaves room for upside if iQIYI executes on its revenue and profit plans.
Narrative Update • Apr 20
IQ: Offline Parks And AI Projects Will Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have increased their price target for iQIYI slightly to $1.30 from $1.28, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a revised forward P/E of about 32x. What's in the News iQIYI approved a share repurchase program of up to US$100 million, to be funded from existing cash and running for 18 months, following Board authorization on March 30, 2026 (company announcement).
Narrative Update • Apr 06
IQ: AI Production And Offline Parks Will Support Long-Term Earnings Potential
Analysts have revised their price target on iQIYI to $2.84 from $3.21, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Launch of Nadou Pro, described as the country's first AI agent focused on professional film and TV production.Narrative Update • Mar 23
IQ: Future Returns Will Reflect Offline Entertainment Expansion And Content IP Ecosystem
Analysts have lowered their iQIYI price target to $2.11 from $2.34, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News iQIYI opened iQIYI LAND, its first global offline indoor theme park, in Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province.Narrative Update • Mar 09
IQ: Offline Theme Parks Will Strain Margins And Limit Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on iQIYI to reflect a lower fair value estimate of $1.28 from $1.41, citing changes in the assumed discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples in their models. What's in the News iQIYI opened iQIYI LAND, its first global offline theme park, in Yangzhou, Jiangsu Province, creating an immersive indoor park of about 10,000 square meters built around its drama and film IP, with multiple themed zones, live performances, social games, and IP focused retail and dining (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 23
IQ: Offline Parks And Historical Content Will Support Long-Term Earnings Potential
Analysts have slightly adjusted their iQIYI price targets, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. This can be viewed as a fine-tuning of expectations rather than a fundamental change in the overall narrative.Narrative Update • Feb 08
IQ: Offline Entertainment And Historical Content Slate Will Support Long-Term Earnings Potential
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on iQIYI to US$3.21 from US$3.20, reflecting updated assumptions that include modest adjustments to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Chief Financial Officer Jun Wang resigned from his role for personal reasons, effective January 20, 2026, and will remain as an advisor through May 31, 2026, while the company searches for a new CFO (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 24
IQ: Offline Entertainment Park Expansion Will Support Long-Term Earnings Potential
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on iQIYI to reflect a fair value of about $3.20, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E. What's in the News Chief Financial Officer Jun Wang resigned for personal reasons, effective January 20, 2026, and will stay on as an advisor through May 31, 2026, while the company searches for a new CFO (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 10
IQ: Offline Entertainment And Travel Content Will Support Long-Term Earnings Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on iQIYI to reflect updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher forward P/E. This signals a more balanced view of both risk and potential returns.Analysis Article • Jan 03
Investors Aren't Buying iQIYI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IQ) Revenues
iQIYI, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:IQ ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to...Narrative Update • Dec 22
IQ: Cultural Tourism Content Will Support Stronger Long-Term Earnings Potential
Analysts have reduced their price target on iQIYI by approximately 3 percent to reflect a slightly higher perceived risk and a moderating profit margin outlook, while still acknowledging somewhat stronger revenue growth and a higher future earnings multiple. What's in the News iQIYI is premiering Season 2 of travel reality show “The Blooming Journey” on October 24, expanding its portfolio of seasonal IP built around authentic female-focused storytelling and destination-based themes (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 08
IQ: Future Returns Will Reflect Expanding Content IP And Tourism Tailwinds
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on iQIYI to reflect a modest uptick in estimated fair value, with updated models pointing to marginally higher long term profitability assumptions despite a slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News iQIYI premiered Season 2 of its travel reality show "The Blooming Journey" on October 24, expanding its seasonal IP portfolio with a female-led, theme-driven format that emphasizes collaboration and self-discovery (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 24
IQ: Future Performance Will Reflect Balanced Risks And Opportunities Ahead
Analysts have revised their price target for iQIYI downward from $2.44 to $2.33. They cited increased discount rates and tempered profit margin expectations, despite projected improvements in revenue growth.Seeking Alpha • Nov 03
iQIYI: Focus On Q3 Preview And New Regulations
Summary I continue to rate iQIYI as a "Hold," following my assessment of its upcoming quarterly results and mid-term prospects. IQ is expected to report flat QoQ revenue growth and a net loss for 3Q25, pressured by stiffer competition and higher content spending. China's recent policy changes may ease regulatory constraints, potentially benefiting IQ's long-form video business over the intermediate term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Sep 06
Premium Content And Global Expansion Will Open New Markets
iQIYI’s fundamentals appear to be stabilizing with industry tailwinds from a more favorable regulatory environment—such as faster, less restrictive content approvals and a stronger content pipeline—driving improving revenue outlook and prompting a modest consensus price target increase from $2.38 to $2.44. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to iQIYI’s fundamentals potentially bottoming out, supported by a more favorable regulatory environment.Narrative Update • Aug 22
Will Expand Into Southeast Asia And Brazil With Mini Dramas And AI-driven Content
Analysts have raised iQIYI's price target from $1.89 to $2.27 on the back of favorable regulatory changes, strong original content performance, sequential revenue growth expectations, and signs of improving fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to new regulatory changes that create a more favorable environment for long-form video, including faster approvals and more flexible subject matter guidelines.Analysis Article • Jul 18
Revenues Working Against iQIYI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IQ) Share Price
iQIYI, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:IQ ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to...Analysis Article • Jun 10
iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analysis Article • Apr 24
We Think iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Apr 08
Positive Sentiment Still Eludes iQIYI, Inc. (NASDAQ:IQ) Following 26% Share Price Slump
iQIYI, Inc. ( NASDAQ:IQ ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...Analysis Article • Apr 07
iQIYI, Inc. (NASDAQ:IQ) Shares Could Be 49% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, iQIYI fair value estimate is US$3.57 iQIYI's US$1.81 share...Seeking Alpha • Mar 29
The Bottom Fishing Club: iQIYI Has Interesting Chart, Netflix-Like Streaming Income
Summary iQIYI, Inc., a Chinese streaming service like Netflix, is increasing in-house content creation, aiming for higher subscriber totals and profits. Despite U.S./China trade risks, iQIYI offers potential gains, especially if the Chinese yuan strengthens against the U.S. dollar. Concerns about U.S. economic isolation under President Trump make international investments like iQIYI appealing for diversification and growth reasons. I am intrigued by the price and momentum bottoming pattern that has appeared since September. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 20
iQIYI: Struggling Against Mini-Drama Surge And Macro Headwinds
Summary iQIYI's 4Q24 results missed expectations, with membership revenue declining for the fifth consecutive quarter and advertising revenue pressured by China's macroeconomic challenges. Management is optimistic about a recovery in 1Q25 due to a better content slate, but competition from mini-dramas and lack of content innovation pose risks. We prefer Netflix to iQIYI due to Netflix's established global scalability and self-reinforcing content model, which iQIYI struggles to replicate. Given iQIYI's structural challenges and competitive pressures, we see further downside and recommend avoiding the stock, valuing it at 0.7x EV/Revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 14
iQIYI, Inc. (NASDAQ:IQ) Stock Rockets 36% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company
iQIYI, Inc. ( NASDAQ:IQ ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand...Analysis Article • Jan 20
iQIYI's (NASDAQ:IQ) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...Seeking Alpha • Jan 19
IQIYI: Artificial Intelligence, Better EPS Than Expected, And Very Cheap
Summary iQIYI is leveraging GenAI tools and ChatGPT to enhance video production, positioning itself for growth in the AI video generator market projected to grow at 19% CAGR. Despite recent revenue declines, iQIYI's new family account option and short dramas could drive future net income and free cash flow growth. The Chinese government's financial stimulus could boost consumer spending, potentially increasing demand for iQIYI's products and improving financial performance. With a DCF model indicating significant upside potential, iQIYI appears undervalued at close to 4x 2027 earnings, presenting a compelling investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 31
iQIYI, Inc. (NASDAQ:IQ) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10x iQIYI, Inc. ( NASDAQ:IQ ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Seeking Alpha • Nov 25
iQIYI Q3: Nothing Impressive, But Short-Form Content Looks Promising
Summary I am downgrading iQIYI Inc. stock to a hold rating due to mixed Q3 results and the need for progress in attracting short-attention span viewers. Q3 revenues fell 10% y/y to $1B, missing estimates by $20m, while non-GAAP EPADS beat estimates by 2 cents at $0.07. The company's financial position is risky with $595m in cash and $1.2B in long-term debt, and operational performance is subpar. iQIYI's focus on micro-dramas could improve margins and attract viewers, but execution must be perfect to capitalize on this growing trend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Nov 24
Strategic Expansion Into Mini Dramas And AI Might Boost Revenue Despite Headwinds
Strategic shifts towards mini and short dramas aim to boost user engagement and market adaptability, enhancing membership and advertising revenue.Analysis Article • Nov 19
Is iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Nov 04
iQIYI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IQ) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 51% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, iQIYI fair value estimate is US$3.72 iQIYI is estimated to be...Analysis Article • Sep 28
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From iQIYI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IQ) 30% Share Price Climb
iQIYI, Inc. ( NASDAQ:IQ ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last...Seeking Alpha • Sep 13
iQIYI: Undervalued Stock, And AI-Powered FCF Growth
Summary iQIYI is trading at multiyear lows, with significant investments in AI and R&D expected to drive user growth and net sales. Baidu's control and support, including increased user traffic, bolster IQ's potential for future growth and profitability. Despite recent profitability and reduced debt, IQ remains undervalued compared to peers, with a promising EPS growth forecast for 2025-2027. Risks include potential declines in advertising revenue, content production challenges, and regulatory impacts on data privacy and international investments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 06
There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For iQIYI's (NASDAQ:IQ) Returns On Capital
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...Seeking Alpha • Aug 27
iQIYI: A Lack Of Surprises
Summary iQIYI, Inc.'s Q2 2024 results met the market's expectations, as the company's top line and bottom line were pretty close to the respective consensus forecasts. The company is expected to report negative revenue growth and operating margin contraction in Q3 2024, similar to how it performed for the second quarter. A lack of surprises relating to iQIYI's actual second-quarter performance and the company's Q3 financial outlook implies that a Hold rating for the stock is justified. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 02
iQIYI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IQ) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 87% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights iQIYI's estimated fair value is US$5.99 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity iQIYI is estimated to be...Analysis Article • Jun 27
We Think iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Jun 08
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From iQIYI, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:IQ) Share Price
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 17x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 28,239 | 818 | 1,690 | 1,435 | 13 |
| 12/31/2027 | 27,300 | 287 | 1,704 | 2,356 | 19 |
| 12/31/2026 | 26,400 | -230 | 1,072 | 1,875 | 20 |
| 12/31/2025 | 27,291 | -206 | -8 | 106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 27,111 | -390 | 396 | 578 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 27,674 | 88 | 919 | 1,088 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 28,484 | 291 | 1,336 | 1,511 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 29,225 | 764 | 1,936 | 2,110 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 30,318 | 1,420 | 2,082 | 2,225 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 31,088 | 1,666 | 2,674 | 2,813 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 31,451 | 1,963 | 3,165 | 3,288 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 31,873 | 1,925 | 3,250 | 3,352 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 31,759 | 1,763 | 3,420 | 3,571 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 31,215 | 892 | 2,741 | 2,936 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 30,069 | 313 | 1,850 | 2,098 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 28,998 | -136 | -370 | -71 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 28,793 | -2,224 | -2,483 | -2,019 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 28,911 | -3,563 | -4,711 | -4,296 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 29,863 | -4,751 | -6,179 | -5,769 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 30,554 | -6,190 | -6,371 | -5,952 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 30,624 | -5,956 | -6,537 | -6,376 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 30,223 | -5,397 | -6,606 | -6,224 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 30,026 | -5,439 | -6,535 | -6,157 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 29,707 | -7,045 | -5,795 | -5,411 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 29,746 | -7,991 | -5,789 | -1,549 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 29,955 | -10,503 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 29,654 | -11,387 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 28,994 | -10,325 | -8,895 | 3,906 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 28,524 | -11,306 | N/A | 2,092 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 28,042 | -10,759 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 27,102 | -10,538 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 24,989 | -9,409 | N/A | 2,884 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 22,779 | 9,389 | N/A | 3,409 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 20,816 | 825 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 18,972 | 1,258 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 17,378 | 103 | N/A | 4,012 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 15,716 | -18,039 | N/A | 4,074 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 11,237 | -7,949 | N/A | 2,612 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,319 | -4,917 | N/A | 1,071 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: IQ is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: IQ is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: IQ is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: IQ's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: IQ's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: IQ's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.7%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 18:22 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
iQIYI, Inc. is covered by 36 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Yanfang Jiang | Benchmark Company |
| Hao Dai | Bernstein |
| Lei Zhang | BofA Global Research |