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Cable One (NYSE:CABO) shareholders have endured a 57% loss from investing in the stock three years ago
If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Cable One, Inc. (NYSE:CABO) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 58% drop in the share price over that period. The more recent news is of little comfort, with the share price down 52% in a year. On the other hand, we note it's up 8.1% in about a month. However, this may be a matter of broader market optimism, since stocks are up 5.4% in the same time.
So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
See our latest analysis for Cable One
SWOT Analysis for Cable One
- Debt is well covered by earnings.
- Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Media market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Although the share price is down over three years, Cable One actually managed to grow EPS by 9.1% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
The modest 1.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 14% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Cable One further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Cable One will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Cable One shareholders are down 51% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 9.2%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.0% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cable One (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
Cable One is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CABO
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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