Stock Analysis

The Trade Desk, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTD) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable

NasdaqGM:TTD
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The Trade Desk, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTD) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 42% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in the United States' Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may consider Trade Desk as a stock to avoid entirely with its 23.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Trade Desk

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:TTD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

How Has Trade Desk Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Trade Desk as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Trade Desk's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Trade Desk's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 25% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 130% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 21% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 4.8% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Trade Desk's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Trade Desk's P/S?

Trade Desk's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Trade Desk's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Trade Desk with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Trade Desk is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.