Stock Analysis

Investors Could Be Concerned With Trade Desk's (NASDAQ:TTD) Returns On Capital

NasdaqGM:TTD
Source: Shutterstock

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Trade Desk is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) Ă· (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = US$252m Ă· (US$4.7b - US$2.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Trade Desk has an ROCE of 11%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 11%.

Check out our latest analysis for Trade Desk

roce
NasdaqGM:TTD Return on Capital Employed July 1st 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Trade Desk compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Trade Desk .

How Are Returns Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Trade Desk doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 21%, but since then they've fallen to 11%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a side note, Trade Desk's current liabilities are still rather high at 49% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

What We Can Learn From Trade Desk's ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Trade Desk. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 308% to shareholders in the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

Trade Desk could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for TTD on our platform quite valuable.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Trade Desk might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.