Match Group (MTCH) Stock Overview
Provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 4/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
MTCH Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 63 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Match Group
20.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
Match Group Stock: Dating Apps in the Age of Fatigue, AI, and Accountability
View narrativeYI
Updated 30 Jan
Match Group, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$41.43 |
| 52 Week High | US$43.47 |
| 52 Week Low | US$28.81 |
| Beta | 1.32 |
| 1 Month Change | 12.80% |
| 3 Month Change | 19.84% |
| 1 Year Change | 9.31% |
| 3 Year Change | -2.54% |
| 5 Year Change | -73.93% |
| Change since IPO | -60.79% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Aug 26
MTCH: Product Execution And Buybacks Will Support A Measured Re Rating Potential
Match Group's fair value estimate has edged up to about $41.90 from roughly $41.06, as analysts factor in slightly higher projected revenue growth, a modestly wider profit margin, and updated price targets clustered around $40 to $43 that reflect mixed Q2 results but improving trends at Tinder and Hinge. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several large firms updating price targets in a tight US$40 to US$45 range.Seeking Alpha • Aug 05
Match: No AI-Driven Makeover Can Save This Company
Summary Match Group faces persistent declines in its payer base, with only Hinge showing growth that fails to offset Tinder’s losses. I maintain a sell rating on MTCH, as recent Q2 results reinforce concerns over shrinking users and limited success from AI-driven initiatives. MTCH’s ambitious AI and Tinder redesign efforts appear risky, with little evidence they will reverse user attrition or drive meaningful revenue growth. Match trades at a seemingly cheap ~8x adjusted EBITDA. But it's a value trap that reflects ongoing challenges and investor skepticism post-earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Aug 26
MTCH: Product Execution And Buybacks Will Support A Measured Re Rating Potential
Match Group's fair value estimate has edged up to about $41.90 from roughly $41.06, as analysts factor in slightly higher projected revenue growth, a modestly wider profit margin, and updated price targets clustered around $40 to $43 that reflect mixed Q2 results but improving trends at Tinder and Hinge. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group points to a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several large firms updating price targets in a tight US$40 to US$45 range.Seeking Alpha • Aug 05
Match: No AI-Driven Makeover Can Save This Company
Summary Match Group faces persistent declines in its payer base, with only Hinge showing growth that fails to offset Tinder’s losses. I maintain a sell rating on MTCH, as recent Q2 results reinforce concerns over shrinking users and limited success from AI-driven initiatives. MTCH’s ambitious AI and Tinder redesign efforts appear risky, with little evidence they will reverse user attrition or drive meaningful revenue growth. Match trades at a seemingly cheap ~8x adjusted EBITDA. But it's a value trap that reflects ongoing challenges and investor skepticism post-earnings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 08
MTCH: Rising User Engagement And Buybacks Will Support Future Share Re Rating
Match Group's updated analyst price target has moved higher to reflect a fair value estimate of about $49.31, with analysts pointing to improving Tinder trends in the U.S., reaccelerating Hinge engagement and stabilizing Azar usage as key supports for the change from roughly $46.09. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts covering Match Group are highlighting improving execution across key apps, pointing to Tinder, Hinge and Azar as the main drivers behind recent upward price target revisions.
Narrative Update • Jun 24
MTCH: Mixed Sentiment And AI Initiatives Will Shape 2026 Engagement Trajectory
Match Group's latest narrative update reflects a modestly higher analyst price target in dollar terms, supported by slightly firmer assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and a lower forward P/E multiple as analysts refine their views on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Match Group points to a mixed backdrop, with several firms lifting price targets while at least one has trimmed expectations.Analysis Article • Jun 18
Match Group (MTCH) Stock Could Be 54.4% Below Fair Value After Peace Deal Relief
Match Group (MTCH) stock drew fresh attention after a new peace deal across Asia-Pacific and the Middle East reduced operational risks, supported advertiser confidence, and coincided with lower oil prices and bond yields. See our latest analysis for Match Group. At a share price of $35.31, Match Group has seen a 90 day share price return of 12.2%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 19.3% contrasts with a weaker 3 and 5 year record. This suggests recent momentum has picked up after a...Narrative Update • Jun 06
MTCH: Execution Risks And AI Features Will Shape 2026 Engagement Reset
Match Group's analyst price target has moved from $31 to $35 as analysts factor in higher assumed future P/E multiples and adjust for more moderate revenue growth and profit margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Match Group shows a mixed backdrop, with several major firms adjusting their price targets and rethinking how much upside they see as execution and growth expectations reset.Narrative Update • May 22
MTCH: Product Progress And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Re Rating Potential
Match Group's updated analyst price target moves from about $36 to about $41, reflecting analysts' refreshed assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group centers on refreshed expectations for product execution, user trends, and how those factors might justify higher or lower valuation multiples over time.Narrative Update • May 01
MTCH: Product Execution And Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Re Rating
Match Group's updated analyst price target edges higher to about $46.09, with analysts citing slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and a modestly higher future P/E multiple, partly balanced by lower profit margin assumptions and several recent $1 to $3 price target cuts across the Street. Analyst Commentary The recent batch of research on Match Group shows a mixed but generally constructive tone, with several small price target trims offset by optimism around execution at Tinder and the potential for better user trends to support the stock over time.Narrative Update • Apr 17
MTCH: Product Progress And Capital Returns Will Shape Balanced Future Outcomes
Match Group's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower, reflecting modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and fair value, even as analysts acknowledge ongoing product progress at Tinder and across the portfolio. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group highlights a split view, with some analysts encouraged by Tinder product updates and others trimming price targets to reflect more conservative expectations for growth and profitability.Narrative Update • Apr 02
MTCH: Product Momentum And Capital Returns Will Support Future Shareholder Value
Analysts have kept the fair value estimate for Match Group steady at $36.47 while tweaking underlying assumptions slightly. This reflects a mix of reduced price targets from several firms and more constructive commentary around Tinder's product progress and user trends.Narrative Update • Mar 19
MTCH: GenAI Features And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating Potential
Match Group's fair value estimate edged down to $46.08 from $46.80 as analysts reset price targets following more cautious revenue growth assumptions, even as recent research points to improving Tinder product execution and user trends. Analyst Commentary Street research on Match Group shows a mixed backdrop of reset expectations alongside growing interest in Tinder's product roadmap and usage trends.Narrative Update • Mar 05
MTCH: AI Features And Buybacks Will Support Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Match Group by low single digit dollar amounts, with cuts of $1 to $3 from several firms, reflecting more cautious assumptions on sector multiples and competitive risks, even as core revenue growth and margin expectations remain broadly intact. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group points to a mixed but measured stance, with both optimistic and cautious voices focusing on valuation, growth durability, and execution against competitive and technology themes.Narrative Update • Feb 19
MTCH: AI And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Match Group by about $1, reflecting updated views on slower revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins, which are partly offset by the use of a higher future P/E multiple in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Match Group shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and refining their views on growth and profitability.Narrative Update • Feb 04
MTCH: Mixed Execution Risk And GenAI Benefits Will Shape 2026 Setup
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Match Group to $31 from $28, citing updated views on revenue growth and profitability, as well as a lower forward P/E multiple. This change comes alongside recent price target increases from firms such as Morgan Stanley and Wolfe Research, despite some cuts from other banks.Narrative Update • Jan 21
MTCH: GenAI Monetization And Buybacks Are Expected To Support Future Upside
Analysts nudged their price targets for Match Group higher, with our fair value estimate moving from US$46.61 to US$46.80. They are factoring in updated views on revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E multiples, supported by recent research pointing to potential benefits from GenAI and product catalysts across internet names.Narrative Update • Jan 07
MTCH: AI Product Catalysts And Buybacks Will Support Future Returns
Narrative Update on Match Group The analyst price target for Match Group has been revised to $43 from $42. Analysts attribute this change to potential upside from AI-related product catalysts, estimate revisions, and what they view as supportive capital allocation and macroeconomic conditions.Narrative Update • Dec 23
MTCH: Safety Improvements Will Support Stronger User Monetization And Share Repurchases
The analyst price target for Match Group has been raised by about 9% to approximately $47 from around $43, as analysts factor in modestly stronger long term revenue growth, slightly higher profit margins, and a marginally richer future P E multiple despite a higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view the higher price target for Match Group as a reflection of improving execution on product innovation and monetization initiatives.Analysis Article • Dec 10
Match Group (NASDAQ:MTCH) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.19
The board of Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.19 per share on the 21st...Narrative Update • Dec 09
MTCH: Share Repurchases And User Monetization Will Support Balanced Future Returns
Analysts nudged their price target on Match Group slightly higher to approximately $37.32 from about $37.32, reflecting marginally lower discount rate assumptions while maintaining steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street discussions around Match Group reflect a balanced mix of optimism on execution and user monetization, alongside caution about competitive intensity and macro driven volatility in discretionary spending.Narrative Update • Nov 25
MTCH: Share Buybacks And Improved Margins Will Support Earnings Upside Ahead
Match Group's analyst price target was modestly reduced from $37.74 to $37.32, as analysts cited slight adjustments in expected revenue growth and discount rates while highlighting stable future profit margins. Analyst Commentary Market observers provide mixed signals regarding Match Group's near-term prospects, focusing on the balance of valuation, growth execution, and external risks impacting the stock's outlook.Analysis Article • Nov 13
We Think You Can Look Beyond Match Group's (NASDAQ:MTCH) Lackluster Earnings
The market for Match Group, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:MTCH ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our...Narrative Update • Nov 07
MTCH: Improved Profit Margins And Operational Efficiencies Will Drive Stronger Performance
Match Group's analyst price target has been revised downward from $38.47 to $37.74, as analysts anticipate modestly stronger revenue growth and profit margins while applying a higher discount rate to reflect a slightly riskier outlook for the company. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided in their views of Match Group's prospects, reflecting both renewed optimism about growth and ongoing concerns tied to the company's execution and risk profile.Analysis Article • Sep 22
At US$38.51, Is Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH) Worth Looking At Closely?
Match Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MTCH ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively...Narrative Update • Aug 07
New AI Features And Global Expansion Will Energize Online Dating
With no changes in analyst reasoning or underlying key metrics such as revenue growth (4.8% per annum) and discount rate (9.17%), Match Group's consensus analyst price target remains steady at $37.21. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 13,722,525 shares (5.49% of shares) for $419.7 million under the buyback announced on December 11, 2024.Seeking Alpha • Mar 19
Match Group: 12%+ Equity Yield Despite Signs Of Growth In Early 2025
Summary Match Group's 2025 revenue guidance suggests flat growth, but a 50 bps AOI margin expansion and 15% FCF growth highlight potential investor attractiveness. Hinge's solid 19% YoY revenue and 27% YoY payer growth, paired with early 2025 DAU upticks (Tinder +2% MoM, Hinge +3% MoM), hint at upside to guidance. Leadership changes with Spencer Rascoff as CEO and a strong new C-level team are expected to accelerate execution and maintain strategic goals. Valuation appears attractive with a 12+% equity yield, suggesting room for a 60%+ rerating of shares, in my view. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 24
Match Group: A Value Trap With Worrying Drop In Paid Users (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Match Group reported very disappointing user results in Q4, with Tinder paid users sharply dropping off and Hinge growth stalling. The company's plan to hit 4-6% revenue growth annually through FY27, as well as $3 billion in FCF over 3 years, seems a tough bar to hit. On top of slowing growth at Hinge, Hinge has a 20-point operating margin deficit to Tinder. Revenue mixing out of Tinder and into Hinge is a headwind to profits. Despite a seemingly attractive valuation at ~11x FCF, Match Group is a value trap due to declining payers, growth, and margins. Sell and invest elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Match Group: This Could Be The Turning Point
Summary Despite a low multiple, Match Group's revenue growth and capital allocation remain unconvincing, leading me to maintain a Hold rating. Q4 results show a 1% revenue decline, with Tinder's revenue dropping 3% and paying users down 5%. Match's capital allocation strategy, focusing on share buybacks, is questioned; investing in growth could be more beneficial given a 16% ROIC. With a new CEO and potential for multiple expansion, I'll wait a few quarters to reassess Match's performance and strategy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| MTCH | US Interactive Media and Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1Y | 9.3% | 15.0% | 15.5% |
Return vs Industry: MTCH underperformed the US Interactive Media and Services industry which returned 15% over the past year.
Return vs Market: MTCH underperformed the US Market which returned 15.5% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| MTCH volatility | |
|---|---|
| MTCH Average Weekly Movement | 5.1% |
| Interactive Media and Services Industry Average Movement | 9.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.0% |
Stable Share Price: MTCH has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: MTCH's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 | 2,205 | Spencer Rascoff | mtch.com |
Match Group, Inc. provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia. The company’s portfolio of brands includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and other brands, built to increase users’ likelihood of connecting with others.
Match Group, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| MTCH fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$9.45b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$707.78m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$3.51b |
13.4x
P/E Ratio2.7x
P/S RatioIs MTCH overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| MTCH income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$3.51b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$881.81m |
| Gross Profit | US$2.63b |
| Other Expenses | US$1.92b |
| Earnings | US$707.78m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 3.08 |
| Gross Margin | 74.87% |
| Net Profit Margin | 20.17% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -1,498.3% |
How did MTCH perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
1.9%
Current Dividend Yield26%
Payout RatioDoes MTCH pay a reliable dividends?
See MTCH dividend history and benchmarks| Match Group dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | Oct 05 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Oct 20 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 25 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 40 days |
Does MTCH pay a reliable dividends?
See MTCH dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/09 21:39 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/09 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Match Group, Inc. is covered by 41 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Douglas Anmuth | Barclays |
| Ross Sandler | Barclays |
| Daniel Salmon | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |