Match Group Valuation

Is MTCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTCH ($34.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($77.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTCH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTCH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MTCH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.3x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.4x
BZ Kanzhun
42.5x23.4%US$7.9b
ZI ZoomInfo Technologies
57.4x27.0%US$4.3b
CARG CarGurus
76.6x29.2%US$2.7b
ATHM Autohome
13.2x1.9%US$3.3b
MTCH Match Group
14x8.3%US$8.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the peer average (47.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (25x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTCH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14x
Fair PE Ratio18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$34.41
US$38.40
+11.6%
17.3%US$55.00US$30.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$29.34
US$38.59
+31.5%
17.3%US$55.00US$30.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$30.63
US$38.46
+25.6%
17.1%US$55.00US$30.00n/a25
May ’25US$31.18
US$44.10
+41.4%
14.2%US$55.00US$31.00n/a26
Apr ’25US$35.91
US$44.71
+24.5%
14.1%US$55.00US$31.00n/a26
Mar ’25US$35.91
US$44.74
+24.6%
14.0%US$55.00US$31.00n/a26
Feb ’25US$38.25
US$45.46
+18.9%
17.0%US$65.00US$31.00n/a25
Jan ’25US$36.50
US$42.94
+17.6%
21.8%US$65.00US$30.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$33.40
US$44.31
+32.7%
22.0%US$65.00US$30.00n/a24
Nov ’24US$29.29
US$49.73
+69.8%
28.2%US$97.00US$30.00n/a24
Oct ’24US$39.18
US$57.18
+46.0%
19.0%US$97.00US$44.00n/a23
Sep ’24US$46.46
US$57.41
+23.6%
19.0%US$97.00US$44.00n/a22
Aug ’24US$46.15
US$54.05
+17.1%
23.8%US$95.00US$37.00n/a21
Jul ’24US$41.85
US$53.24
+27.2%
24.3%US$95.00US$37.00US$29.3421
Jun ’24US$38.02
US$52.78
+38.8%
24.3%US$95.00US$35.00US$30.6323
May ’24US$35.97
US$59.17
+64.5%
20.1%US$95.00US$40.00US$31.1823
Apr ’24US$38.39
US$63.50
+65.4%
16.2%US$95.00US$50.00US$35.9122
Mar ’24US$41.62
US$62.78
+50.8%
15.4%US$90.00US$50.00US$35.9123
Feb ’24US$51.41
US$63.09
+22.7%
17.6%US$90.00US$46.00US$38.2523
Jan ’24US$41.49
US$64.41
+55.2%
17.2%US$90.00US$45.00US$36.5022
Dec ’23US$49.96
US$66.48
+33.1%
17.0%US$90.00US$45.00US$33.4021
Nov ’23US$43.90
US$74.68
+70.1%
19.7%US$121.00US$56.00US$29.2922
Oct ’23US$47.75
US$81.72
+71.1%
16.9%US$121.00US$60.00US$39.1822
Sep ’23US$55.45
US$84.38
+52.2%
14.5%US$121.00US$64.00US$46.4621
Aug ’23US$73.53
US$107.42
+46.1%
17.2%US$150.00US$65.00US$46.1521
Jul ’23US$71.49
US$116.95
+63.6%
16.7%US$168.00US$81.00US$41.8523

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.