Match Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:MTCH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.4b

Match Group Valuation

Is MTCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MTCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: MTCH ($31.6) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($76.47)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MTCH is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTCH?

Key metric: As MTCH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MTCH. This is calculated by dividing MTCH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MTCH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12x
EarningsUS$613.45m
Market CapUS$7.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.3x
BILI Bilibili
103x37.02%US$11.6b
PINS Pinterest
27.3x22.65%US$11.4b
JOYY JOYY
1.7x-82.24%US$3.0b
WB Weibo
5.3x-6.24%US$2.4b
MTCH Match Group
12x7.76%US$7.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the peer average (34.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JOYY JOYY
1.7x-82.24%US$3.04b
JFU 9F
1.4xn/aUS$51.33m
CHR Cheer Holding
0.3xn/aUS$6.59m
REDF.Y Rediff.com India
0.06xn/aUS$36.20k
No more companies available in this PE range
MTCH 12.0xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies4PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (14.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTCH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12x
Fair PE Ratio18.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTCH is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$31.60
US$36.47
+15.41%
13.17%US$49.00US$30.00n/a17
Feb ’27US$31.15
US$37.59
+20.67%
12.91%US$49.00US$31.00n/a17
Jan ’27US$32.29
US$37.32
+15.56%
12.45%US$49.00US$31.00n/a19
Dec ’26US$33.75
US$37.32
+10.57%
12.45%US$49.00US$31.00n/a19
Nov ’26US$32.34
US$38.47
+18.97%
11.60%US$49.00US$31.00n/a19
Oct ’26US$34.63
US$38.47
+11.10%
11.57%US$49.00US$31.00n/a19
Sep ’26US$37.34
US$38.47
+3.04%
11.57%US$49.00US$31.00n/a19
Aug ’26US$33.60
US$34.58
+2.91%
12.46%US$46.00US$28.00n/a19
Jul ’26US$32.51
US$33.96
+4.45%
12.67%US$46.00US$28.00n/a20
Jun ’26US$29.94
US$33.91
+13.24%
12.77%US$46.00US$28.00n/a20
May ’26US$30.41
US$35.30
+16.08%
14.81%US$52.00US$29.00n/a21
Apr ’26US$31.41
US$36.44
+16.03%
12.04%US$52.00US$32.00n/a21
Mar ’26US$31.71
US$36.44
+14.93%
12.04%US$52.00US$32.00US$31.6021
Feb ’26US$35.70
US$36.09
+1.10%
13.36%US$53.00US$30.00US$31.1523
Jan ’26US$32.71
US$36.69
+12.15%
14.03%US$53.00US$30.00US$32.2925
Dec ’25US$32.74
US$38.85
+18.65%
13.48%US$53.00US$32.13US$33.7525
Nov ’25US$35.69
US$43.29
+21.29%
12.08%US$55.00US$34.97US$32.3425
Oct ’25US$37.53
US$43.29
+15.34%
11.81%US$55.00US$34.97US$34.6325
Sep ’25US$37.21
US$43.25
+16.22%
11.64%US$55.00US$34.97US$37.3425
Aug ’25US$37.57
US$42.68
+13.61%
13.52%US$55.00US$34.00US$33.6025
Jul ’25US$29.34
US$38.59
+31.51%
17.35%US$55.00US$30.00US$32.5124
Jun ’25US$30.63
US$38.46
+25.57%
17.12%US$55.00US$30.00US$29.9425
May ’25US$31.18
US$44.10
+41.42%
14.16%US$55.00US$31.00US$30.4126
Apr ’25US$35.91
US$44.71
+24.51%
14.10%US$55.00US$31.00US$31.4126
Mar ’25US$35.91
US$44.74
+24.58%
14.05%US$55.00US$31.00US$31.7126
US$36.47
Fair Value
13.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/01 19:39
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/27 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Match Group, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ross SandlerBarclays
Douglas AnmuthBarclays
Clayton MoranBenchmark Company