Weibo Corporation

NasdaqGS:WB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

Weibo Valuation

Is WB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WB ($8.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($22.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WB?

Key metric: As WB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WB. This is calculated by dividing WB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
EarningsUS$322.09m
Market CapUS$2.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
YY JOYY
7.8x1.6%US$2.1b
ZD Ziff Davis
38.3x51.1%US$2.4b
MOMO Hello Group
6.2x9.3%US$1.2b
GETY Getty Images Holdings
22x16.5%US$1.3b
WB Weibo
6.4x8.0%US$2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CHR Cheer Holding
0.8xn/aUS$26.95m
MI NFT
2.2xn/aUS$13.47m
No more companies available in this PE range
WB 6.4xIndustry Avg. 22.8xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (22.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.51
US$10.31
+21.2%
22.1%US$16.00US$7.50n/a20
Nov ’25US$8.96
US$10.33
+15.3%
22.6%US$16.00US$7.50n/a19
Oct ’25US$10.80
US$10.26
-5.0%
21.5%US$16.00US$7.50n/a20
Sep ’25US$7.48
US$10.39
+38.9%
20.5%US$16.00US$7.50n/a21
Aug ’25US$7.60
US$11.51
+51.5%
21.1%US$17.10US$8.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$7.75
US$11.86
+53.1%
22.5%US$18.00US$8.60n/a22
Jun ’25US$8.85
US$11.89
+34.3%
22.3%US$18.00US$8.60n/a22
May ’25US$8.58
US$12.22
+42.5%
22.6%US$18.80US$8.60n/a22
Apr ’25US$9.41
US$12.40
+31.7%
22.0%US$18.80US$8.60n/a23
Mar ’25US$9.14
US$16.26
+77.9%
23.4%US$23.50US$10.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$8.52
US$16.15
+89.6%
23.7%US$23.50US$10.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$10.95
US$16.87
+54.1%
20.0%US$23.50US$11.50n/a23
Dec ’24US$9.92
US$17.04
+71.8%
18.9%US$23.50US$11.50n/a24
Nov ’24US$11.56
US$18.74
+62.1%
21.8%US$26.30US$12.00US$8.9623
Oct ’24US$12.54
US$19.27
+53.7%
19.2%US$26.50US$14.20US$10.8023
Sep ’24US$13.58
US$19.80
+45.8%
19.9%US$26.50US$14.20US$7.4824
Aug ’24US$15.15
US$21.34
+40.8%
17.4%US$28.00US$14.50US$7.6025
Jul ’24US$13.11
US$21.64
+65.1%
16.3%US$28.00US$15.50US$7.7525
Jun ’24US$14.17
US$22.46
+58.5%
17.2%US$33.00US$17.00US$8.8525
May ’24US$17.11
US$24.25
+41.7%
13.5%US$33.00US$19.00US$8.5824
Apr ’24US$20.06
US$24.37
+21.5%
13.6%US$33.00US$19.00US$9.4124
Mar ’24US$19.12
US$24.08
+26.0%
15.2%US$33.00US$16.30US$9.1422
Feb ’24US$25.18
US$22.61
-10.2%
17.1%US$33.00US$16.30US$8.5222
Jan ’24US$19.12
US$20.22
+5.8%
16.0%US$27.10US$15.00US$10.9521
Dec ’23US$15.15
US$20.32
+34.1%
16.9%US$27.10US$14.00US$9.9221
Nov ’23US$12.46
US$23.37
+87.5%
25.2%US$35.00US$13.00US$11.5622

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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