Stock Analysis

Investors Holding Back On Lionsgate Studios Corp. (NASDAQ:LION)

NasdaqGS:LION
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Entertainment industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s (NASDAQ:LION) P/S ratio of 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Lionsgate Studios

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:LION Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 22nd 2024

How Lionsgate Studios Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Lionsgate Studios over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lionsgate Studios' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Lionsgate Studios?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Lionsgate Studios' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.1% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 53% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Lionsgate Studios' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To our surprise, Lionsgate Studios revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Lionsgate Studios (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lionsgate Studios is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.