Stock Analysis

At US$2.53, Is It Time To Put GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ:GDEV) On Your Watch List?

Published
NasdaqGM:GDEV

While GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ:GDEV) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NASDAQGM over the last few months. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Let’s examine GDEV’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for GDEV

What Is GDEV Worth?

Great news for investors – GDEV is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 8.67x is currently well-below the industry average of 18x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. GDEV’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its industry peers, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Can we expect growth from GDEV?

NasdaqGM:GDEV Earnings and Revenue Growth August 12th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected next year, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for GDEV, at least in the near future.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although GDEV is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the negative profit outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to GDEV, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GDEV for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

If you'd like to know more about GDEV as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for GDEV (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in GDEV, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.