Stock Analysis

Creative Realities (NASDAQ:CREX) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NasdaqCM:CREX
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Creative Realities, Inc. (NASDAQ:CREX) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Our analysis indicates that CREX is potentially undervalued!

What Is Creative Realities's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 Creative Realities had US$15.5m of debt, an increase on US$6.66m, over one year. However, it does have US$2.84m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$12.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:CREX Debt to Equity History November 1st 2022

A Look At Creative Realities' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Creative Realities had liabilities of US$16.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$25.5m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$2.84m as well as receivables valued at US$8.60m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$30.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$13.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Creative Realities would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Creative Realities's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Creative Realities wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 73%, to US$32m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Creative Realities still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$2.5m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it burned through US$2.5m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Creative Realities (3 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.