Stock Analysis

Will Baidu’s (BIDU) Autonomous Vehicle Push in Europe With Lyft Redefine Its Global Ambitions?

  • On August 4, 2025, Baidu, Inc. and Lyft, Inc. announced a partnership for the deployment of Baidu's Apollo Go autonomous vehicles on the Lyft platform in major European markets, with initial rollouts planned for Germany and the UK in 2026 pending regulatory approval.
  • This marks Baidu's first major expansion of its autonomous ride-hailing services beyond China, leveraging Lyft's established European network to accelerate the adoption of AV technology in the region.
  • We'll now explore how Baidu's entry into Europe via Lyft could influence its growth outlook and future earnings narrative.

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Baidu Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Baidu shareholder today, you need to believe the company’s pivot to AI and international autonomous vehicle deployment can offset slower growth in its core online marketing segment. The recent Apollo Go partnership with Lyft in Europe is an important milestone, but with regulatory approvals pending and Europe a new market for Baidu, the most important short-term catalyst remains successful execution and scaling of autonomous ride-hailing outside China. Meanwhile, the biggest risk to earnings is still ongoing pressure in Baidu’s legacy advertising business.

One recent announcement that connects directly to the Apollo Go news is Baidu’s July 2025 global agreement with Uber, which also involves deploying Apollo Go vehicles outside China. Together, these deals suggest Baidu is focusing on rapid, international AV rollouts, potentially providing fresh revenue streams that may help offset declines in legacy segments if successful.

However, investors should also be aware that the regulatory environment for autonomous vehicles in new markets like Europe could slow or limit the realization of this opportunity...

Read the full narrative on Baidu (it's free!)

Baidu's outlook forecasts CN¥151.6 billion in revenue and CN¥23.1 billion in earnings by 2028. This assumes a 4.2% annual revenue growth rate and a CN¥2.3 billion decrease in earnings from the current level of CN¥25.4 billion.

Uncover how Baidu's forecasts yield a $100.03 fair value, a 14% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

BIDU Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
BIDU Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Seventeen unique fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range, from CN¥71.15 to CN¥198.54 per share. As Baidu’s AV expansion accelerates, the company’s ability to grow new revenue streams remains a key issue that shapes these differing investor expectations.

Explore 17 other fair value estimates on Baidu - why the stock might be worth 19% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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