Yara International ASA

OTCPK:YRAI.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.2b

Yara International Valuation

Is YRAI.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YRAI.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YRAI.F ($28.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($37.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YRAI.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YRAI.F?

Key metric: As YRAI.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YRAI.F. This is calculated by dividing YRAI.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YRAI.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13x
EarningsUS$548.00m
Market CapUS$7.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YRAI.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YRAI.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
FMC FMC
4.8x-17.0%US$7.4b
MOS Mosaic
22.6x26.9%US$8.4b
ICL ICL Group
14.6x17.8%US$5.9b
CF CF Industries Holdings
13.4x-6.3%US$15.6b
YRAI.F Yara International
13x13.7%US$79.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YRAI.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YRAI.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)
2.8xn/aUS$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$22.96m
BON Bon Natural Life
2.6xn/aUS$6.35m
GSPI Green Star Products
1.7xn/aUS$1.64m
YRAI.F 13.0xIndustry Avg. 22.7xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YRAI.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (22.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YRAI.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YRAI.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate YRAI.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YRAI.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$31.74
0%
14.8%US$39.30US$22.59n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
US$31.69
0%
15.2%US$39.34US$22.61n/a18
Oct ’25n/a
US$32.72
0%
14.8%US$40.99US$26.38n/a17
Sep ’25US$28.88
US$32.68
+13.2%
15.0%US$41.01US$25.46n/a17
Aug ’25US$29.18
US$32.15
+10.2%
15.6%US$39.72US$24.66n/a17
Jul ’25n/a
US$32.98
0%
16.4%US$40.75US$25.29n/a17
Jun ’25n/a
US$33.81
0%
15.8%US$41.45US$25.73n/a17
May ’25US$29.10
US$33.51
+15.1%
14.6%US$40.54US$25.30n/a17
Apr ’25US$30.20
US$35.14
+16.4%
11.7%US$40.48US$27.66n/a17
Mar ’25n/a
US$36.71
0%
11.6%US$41.35US$28.52n/a17
Feb ’25US$33.27
US$36.90
+10.9%
14.5%US$44.05US$24.90n/a16
Jan ’25US$35.03
US$39.14
+11.7%
13.3%US$46.75US$29.53n/a16
Dec ’24n/a
US$37.45
0%
13.4%US$44.52US$28.12n/a16
Nov ’24US$31.89
US$36.02
+13.0%
12.8%US$42.47US$28.61n/a16
Oct ’24n/a
US$38.89
0%
13.1%US$47.21US$29.91n/a17
Sep ’24US$34.69
US$38.64
+11.4%
13.4%US$47.30US$29.97US$28.8818
Aug ’24n/a
US$40.30
0%
13.2%US$49.47US$31.34US$29.1818
Jul ’24US$35.25
US$40.37
+14.5%
13.2%US$48.45US$30.75n/a18
Jun ’24US$37.87
US$39.96
+5.5%
12.8%US$47.49US$31.66n/a18
May ’24US$40.25
US$42.51
+5.6%
13.4%US$50.28US$33.52US$29.1018
Apr ’24US$43.42
US$45.11
+3.9%
12.4%US$52.55US$34.40US$30.2018
Mar ’24US$48.00
US$46.66
-2.8%
11.2%US$52.97US$34.67n/a17
Feb ’24US$45.00
US$48.01
+6.7%
10.5%US$56.48US$38.32US$33.2717
Jan ’24US$43.46
US$48.50
+11.6%
11.4%US$57.16US$38.79US$35.0317
Dec ’23US$47.04
US$49.04
+4.3%
11.8%US$57.55US$39.05n/a17
Nov ’23US$44.10
US$46.24
+4.9%
11.4%US$54.09US$36.71US$31.8917

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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