Stock Analysis

Gold Royalty (NYSEAM:GROY): Valuation Check After Upsized Credit Facility and Balance Sheet Reset

Gold Royalty (NYSEAM:GROY) recently refreshed its balance sheet by upsizing and extending its revolving credit facility, improving borrowing costs and retiring high coupon debentures. This move directly affects how the company can fund future royalty acquisitions.

See our latest analysis for Gold Royalty.

Investors seem to be taking notice of this cleaner balance sheet, with Gold Royalty’s share price now at $4.16 and a strong year to date share price return of 235.48 percent reinforcing a longer term three year total shareholder return of 61.65 percent. This suggests that momentum is building rather than fading.

If this kind of re rating story interests you, it could be worth broadening your search to discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as potential next candidates.

With the balance sheet reset and analysts still seeing upside to their price targets, is Gold Royalty’s sharp rerating just the beginning of a catch up to intrinsic value, or is the market already baking in future growth?

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Most Popular Narrative: 13.1% Undervalued

Against a last close of $4.16, the most followed narrative argues that Gold Royalty’s fair value sits meaningfully higher at $4.79, grounded in aggressive growth and margin assumptions.

The high fixed cost structure of the business and increasing scale from newly producing royalties will result in meaningful operating leverage, translating incremental top line growth into disproportionately higher net margins and improving overall profitability.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how fast rising royalties, sharply higher margins and a richer future earnings multiple combine to justify that higher value? The full narrative unpacks the precise growth trajectory, the profit inflection point and the premium valuation multiple it believes the market will ultimately be willing to pay.

Result: Fair Value of $4.79 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, sustained weakness in gold prices or delays at key ramp up assets like Côté and Vareš could quickly undermine those optimistic margin and valuation assumptions.

Find out about the key risks to this Gold Royalty narrative.

Build Your Own Gold Royalty Narrative

If you are not aligned with this view or prefer to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a fresh perspective in minutes, Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Gold Royalty.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NYSEAM:GROY

Gold Royalty

A precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry.

High growth potential and good value.

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