Stock Analysis

Summit Materials' (NYSE:SUM) Earnings Aren't As Good As They Appear

NYSE:SUM
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Even though Summit Materials, Inc. (NYSE:SUM) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large way. We looked deeper into the numbers and found that shareholders might be concerned with some underlying weaknesses.

View our latest analysis for Summit Materials

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NYSE:SUM Earnings and Revenue History August 14th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Summit Materials expanded the number of shares on issue by 46% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Summit Materials' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of Summit Materials' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Summit Materials has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 70% in that time. But EPS was only up 38% per year, in the exact same period. And the 59% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 30% in that time. Therefore, one can observe that the dilution is having a fairly profound effect on shareholder returns.

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So Summit Materials shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Summit Materials' net profit by US$101m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Summit Materials doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On Summit Materials' Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Summit Materials got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue Summit Materials' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Summit Materials, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Summit Materials (1 is significant) you should be familiar with.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.