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Investors Don't See Light At End Of Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s (NYSE:RYAM) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 27%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (NYSE:RYAM) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 21% share price drop.
After such a large drop in price, it would be understandable if you think Rayonier Advanced Materials is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Chemicals industry have P/S ratios above 1x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Rayonier Advanced Materials
What Does Rayonier Advanced Materials' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent revenue growth for Rayonier Advanced Materials has been in line with the industry. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Rayonier Advanced Materials' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Rayonier Advanced Materials' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Rayonier Advanced Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 11% overall rise in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.0% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Rayonier Advanced Materials' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The southerly movements of Rayonier Advanced Materials' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Rayonier Advanced Materials' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Rayonier Advanced Materials you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Rayonier Advanced Materials' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:RYAM
Rayonier Advanced Materials
Manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally.
Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.
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