Stock Analysis

Earnings Update: RPM International Inc. (NYSE:RPM) Just Reported Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

NYSE:RPM
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Last week, you might have seen that RPM International Inc. (NYSE:RPM) released its third-quarter result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.1% to US$113 in the past week. RPM International reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of US$1.5b and statutory earnings per share of US$0.47, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on RPM International after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for RPM International

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NYSE:RPM Earnings and Revenue Growth April 7th 2024

After the latest results, the 15 analysts covering RPM International are now predicting revenues of US$7.63b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a reasonable 3.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 26% to US$5.46. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$7.69b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.44 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$118. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on RPM International, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$136 and the most bearish at US$99.00 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that RPM International's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.1% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 7.2% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 4.4% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than RPM International.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$118, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for RPM International going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with RPM International , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether RPM International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.