Stock Analysis

LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE:LYB) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NYSE:LYB
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies LyondellBasell Industries N.V. (NYSE:LYB) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for LyondellBasell Industries

What Is LyondellBasell Industries's Debt?

As you can see below, LyondellBasell Industries had US$11.6b of debt at December 2021, down from US$16.2b a year prior. However, it does have US$1.48b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$10.1b.

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NYSE:LYB Debt to Equity History February 16th 2022

How Healthy Is LyondellBasell Industries' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that LyondellBasell Industries had liabilities of US$7.23b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$17.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.48b as well as receivables valued at US$4.81b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$18.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since LyondellBasell Industries has a huge market capitalization of US$33.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

LyondellBasell Industries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 14.3 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that LyondellBasell Industries grew its EBIT by 239% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if LyondellBasell Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, LyondellBasell Industries recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, LyondellBasell Industries's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that LyondellBasell Industries takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with LyondellBasell Industries (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.