ICL Group (NYSE:ICL) Declares Dividend—A Fresh Perspective on the Company’s Valuation

ICL Group (NYSE:ICL) has declared a new cash dividend for shareholders, highlighting its ongoing commitment to returning value to investors. Such dividend announcements often lead to renewed attention and trading activity around the stock.

See our latest analysis for ICL Group.

ICL Group’s recent dividend news comes after a year of share price ups and downs. While the stock has faced headwinds in the last month with a 14.6% dip, momentum over 2025 remains constructive. This is highlighted by a 12.3% year-to-date share price return and a 17.1% total shareholder return over the past year. The combination of resilient long-term total returns and ongoing shareholder payouts suggests investor confidence is holding up even as the market re-evaluates growth potential.

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With shares trading just below analyst targets and strong returns over the past year, the key question for investors is whether ICL Group is currently undervalued, or if the market has already taken its future growth prospects into account.

Most Popular Narrative: 17.3% Undervalued

ICL Group’s last close at $5.57 sits well below the most widely followed narrative’s fair value estimate of $6.74. Shifts in market sentiment and analyst expectations have led to this sizable uptick in fair value, even as growth forecasts have eased recently.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $5.28 for ICL Group based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $6.0 and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $4.5.

Read the complete narrative.

What secret assumptions power this higher valuation? The key lies in ambitious financial targets for revenue, profit margins, and future growth. Discover which bold projections are woven into the story analysts are telling. See precisely what could drive the next big move.

Result: Fair Value of $6.74 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing geopolitical tensions and unpredictable phosphate prices could negatively impact ICL Group’s earnings outlook and shift market sentiment unexpectedly.

Find out about the key risks to this ICL Group narrative.

Build Your Own ICL Group Narrative

If the current valuation story doesn't quite fit your perspective, you can take a fresh look at the numbers and craft your own view in just minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your ICL Group research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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