The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Crown Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:CCK) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Crown Holdings
What Is Crown Holdings's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Crown Holdings had US$7.45b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$1.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$6.33b.
How Healthy Is Crown Holdings' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Crown Holdings had liabilities of US$3.86b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$7.90b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.12b and US$1.65b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$8.99b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$9.98b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Crown Holdings' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Crown Holdings's debt is 3.5 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.4 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Fortunately, Crown Holdings grew its EBIT by 8.7% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Crown Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Crown Holdings recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
On this analysis Crown Holdings's level of total liabilities and interest cover both make us a little nervous. But the silver lining is its relatively strong EBIT growth rate. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Crown Holdings stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Crown Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CCK
Crown Holdings
Engages in the packaging business in the United States and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.