Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE:AEM) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NYSE:AEM
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (NYSE:AEM) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Agnico Eagle Mines

What Is Agnico Eagle Mines's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Agnico Eagle Mines had US$1.94b of debt, an increase on US$1.34b, over one year. However, it does have US$364.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.58b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AEM Debt to Equity History January 2nd 2024

A Look At Agnico Eagle Mines' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Agnico Eagle Mines had liabilities of US$1.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$8.19b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$364.9m and US$189.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$8.74b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Agnico Eagle Mines has a huge market capitalization of US$27.2b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Agnico Eagle Mines's net debt is only 0.52 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.0 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, Agnico Eagle Mines grew its EBIT by 27% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Agnico Eagle Mines can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Agnico Eagle Mines's free cash flow amounted to 44% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, Agnico Eagle Mines's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Agnico Eagle Mines takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Agnico Eagle Mines (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.